Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102207 10188 345 510 81 13 0 0
OW 152 857 332 908 347 18 0 0
VODI 47 218 203 904 656 89 0 0
ODI 4 94 28 486 904 485 0 0
CDI 0 18 6 184 1357 2007 348 30
VCDI 0 3 0 21 525 7134 25432 37602
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101043 10584 320 331 52 0 0 0
OW 150 963 364 886 429 49 0 0
VODI 36 241 197 949 621 211 0 0
ODI 1 77 55 505 750 571 2 0
CDI 0 18 4 214 1048 1866 211 3
VCDI 0 16 0 20 274 5449 21106 45127
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97393 13070 393 404 9 3 0 0
OW 87 856 354 787 185 1 0 0
VODI 23 130 141 1146 936 115 0 0
ODI 2 8 7 338 1303 378 13 0
CDI 0 1 2 92 942 2783 193 14
VCDI 0 17 0 26 277 5111 22677 44526
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95537 12942 412 442 10 0 0 0
OW 318 1085 307 1043 198 4 0 0
VODI 57 218 132 935 987 103 0 0
ODI 9 11 13 320 1148 713 17 3
CDI 1 2 4 127 1044 2893 437 22
VCDI 0 16 0 11 341 5231 23904 43746
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95513 13015 450 500 30 0 0 0
OW 340 1011 285 964 178 4 0 0
VODI 59 215 110 955 938 110 0 0
ODI 8 15 20 315 1127 657 15 3
CDI 2 2 3 130 1086 2907 528 25
VCDI 0 16 0 14 369 5266 23815 43743

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94452 12980 345 446 5 0 0 0
OW 240 1443 389 714 189 16 0 0
VODI 36 302 235 1045 703 170 14 0
ODI 2 40 16 488 776 586 91 3
CDI 1 12 2 235 1192 2168 257 29
VCDI 0 17 1 14 443 5518 23799 45329
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94463 13100 380 523 25 0 0 0
OW 231 1340 370 644 184 11 0 0
VODI 34 279 214 1033 660 130 17 0
ODI 1 45 20 490 806 582 91 3
CDI 1 13 2 237 1178 2193 249 29
VCDI 1 17 2 15 455 5542 23804 45329

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91541 14709 383 415 15 0 0 0
OW 45 1335 605 838 116 0 0 0
VODI 4 87 120 1763 580 25 1 0
ODI 0 8 2 445 1538 270 30 0
CDI 0 5 1 75 1201 3775 229 1
VCDI 0 17 0 7 192 5080 19482 49803
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91477 14101 446 661 84 1 0 0
OW 105 1591 387 866 295 29 0 0
VODI 8 376 235 1114 633 111 46 0
ODI 0 59 37 634 870 494 102 0
CDI 0 15 6 247 1263 2364 246 2
VCDI 0 19 0 21 497 6151 19348 49802

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90774 13216 353 403 74 0 0 0
OW 93 1887 464 887 323 19 0 0
VODI 11 263 276 1417 802 149 0 0
ODI 0 12 18 600 1313 327 8 0
CDI 0 4 0 180 1490 2853 592 1
VCDI 0 15 0 12 355 4927 22407 48218
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90663 12850 324 427 117 8 0 0
OW 178 1824 428 833 443 45 0 0
VODI 36 648 269 1211 849 183 69 0
ODI 1 52 80 664 984 496 86 0
CDI 0 6 10 328 1494 2358 408 2
VCDI 0 17 0 36 470 5185 22444 48217

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89010 13264 335 476 177 0 0 0
OW 135 1742 391 754 255 33 0 0
VODI 16 576 284 1346 808 280 0 0
ODI 0 27 43 595 1049 862 52 0
CDI 0 0 4 211 1173 2296 806 31
VCDI 0 0 0 40 425 4831 22466 49950
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88861 12858 324 477 180 11 0 0
OW 225 1706 396 752 414 130 6 0
VODI 61 878 208 1146 805 544 61 0
ODI 13 151 96 609 804 720 102 2
CDI 1 16 33 358 1163 2025 859 23
VCDI 0 0 0 80 521 4872 22296 49956


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