Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22209 1868 227 484 77 0 0 0
OW 114 346 80 617 270 0 0 0
VODI 18 116 25 367 368 22 0 0
ODI 1 27 14 138 448 122 12 0
CDI 0 12 2 27 236 690 117 4
VCDI 0 0 0 5 108 2200 7389 22471
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22073 1556 133 458 41 0 0 0
OW 79 264 70 534 168 0 0 0
VODI 18 162 34 400 615 63 0 0
ODI 0 39 16 143 456 280 5 0
CDI 0 0 1 66 266 694 122 16
VCDI 0 0 0 18 713 2937 8305 20486
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22088 1575 84 122 6 0 0 0
OW 147 373 86 377 66 0 0 0
VODI 35 152 80 519 337 4 0 0
ODI 3 11 7 212 732 88 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 108 510 949 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 82 852 2565 8721 20330
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22223 1477 70 116 11 0 0 0
OW 82 445 119 336 52 0 0 0
VODI 42 217 71 365 258 39 0 0
ODI 0 80 22 154 420 323 0 0
CDI 0 32 5 75 572 914 11 0
VCDI 0 1 0 21 669 5028 11311 15670
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22202 1492 86 135 16 0 0 0
OW 103 421 89 303 41 0 0 0
VODI 42 212 85 340 255 32 0 0
ODI 0 88 21 180 449 290 0 0
CDI 0 38 5 72 557 892 10 0
VCDI 0 1 1 37 664 5090 11312 15670

Date: 2024-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22130 1358 47 124 37 0 0 0
OW 92 346 107 327 195 0 0 0
VODI 21 150 61 267 283 87 0 0
ODI 4 66 12 170 293 324 0 0
CDI 1 16 1 68 388 871 15 0
VCDI 0 3 0 15 209 3548 10162 19433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22117 1409 44 147 84 0 0 0
OW 97 286 106 260 155 0 0 0
VODI 29 146 64 292 259 75 0 0
ODI 4 52 12 177 284 307 1 0
CDI 1 33 2 71 380 880 42 0
VCDI 0 13 0 24 243 3568 10134 19433

Date: 2024-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20812 2475 78 62 7 0 0 0
OW 57 259 116 224 50 0 0 0
VODI 16 53 40 510 308 10 0 0
ODI 1 2 2 121 513 77 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 233 989 41 7
VCDI 0 0 0 2 80 2340 6399 25330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20779 2406 80 90 70 0 0 0
OW 82 268 80 239 157 1 0 0
VODI 20 80 57 333 301 101 0 0
ODI 4 32 18 158 229 208 31 0
CDI 1 3 1 64 271 603 191 4
VCDI 0 0 0 52 163 2503 6218 25333

Date: 2024-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19025 3363 124 198 23 0 0 0
OW 178 421 46 147 124 12 0 0
VODI 24 128 39 253 266 150 2 0
ODI 2 11 4 81 299 287 21 0
CDI 1 3 2 23 182 667 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 111 1536 8905 24437
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19076 3339 107 172 70 10 0 0
OW 102 355 42 113 122 57 0 0
VODI 35 183 38 242 282 255 25 0
ODI 16 33 21 99 213 229 34 0
CDI 1 15 5 41 139 570 119 0
VCDI 0 1 2 72 179 1531 8849 24437

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18163 3671 112 178 0 0 0 0
OW 577 184 71 227 89 0 0 0
VODI 121 79 43 285 278 61 0 0
ODI 15 16 2 92 354 191 3 0
CDI 2 11 2 16 319 780 52 3
VCDI 0 2 1 11 221 2084 7998 24917
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17952 3587 115 271 70 28 0 0
OW 564 145 25 110 115 61 0 0
VODI 260 173 57 185 281 127 3 0
ODI 86 36 28 117 219 212 6 0
CDI 16 20 5 110 227 407 106 0
VCDI 0 2 1 16 349 2281 7938 24920


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