Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83764 5328 132 80 3 0 0 0
OW 1 312 178 247 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 55 362 189 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 138 226 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 424 529 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 2441 4268 1593
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82312 6274 136 239 7 0 0 0
OW 0 445 107 232 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 102 299 183 9 0 0
ODI 0 5 18 176 218 45 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 94 455 646 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 1978 4833 1432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82455 6232 110 100 0 0 0 0
OW 0 348 205 333 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 49 460 231 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 171 359 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 468 434 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 2951 4388 976
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82339 6332 80 67 2 0 0 0
OW 1 473 193 262 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 102 389 183 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 27 191 226 13 0 0
CDI 0 13 25 158 429 346 0 0
VCDI 0 0 2 82 275 3138 3846 1033
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82340 6328 91 74 5 0 0 0
OW 0 487 194 277 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 96 365 187 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 21 205 239 14 0 0
CDI 0 13 25 144 429 387 0 0
VCDI 0 0 2 84 269 3096 3846 1033

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82256 6254 157 157 13 0 0 0
OW 4 534 195 321 55 3 0 0
VODI 0 73 61 440 162 29 0 0
ODI 0 11 24 204 152 38 0 0
CDI 0 11 13 199 513 86 0 0
VCDI 0 0 3 46 270 2544 4452 1136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82259 6219 164 195 17 0 0 0
OW 1 568 197 310 44 3 0 0
VODI 0 77 55 401 156 26 0 0
ODI 0 9 21 242 150 37 0 0
CDI 0 10 13 175 526 99 0 0
VCDI 0 0 3 44 272 2535 4452 1136

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81367 7071 161 233 13 0 0 0
OW 8 335 269 273 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 35 557 148 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 205 342 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 476 472 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 1801 4958 1450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81369 6690 184 278 23 0 0 0
OW 6 637 150 319 59 13 0 0
VODI 0 79 109 318 148 64 0 0
ODI 0 2 22 214 193 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 184 451 211 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 193 2004 4974 1450

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80549 7323 173 237 57 3 0 0
OW 9 380 210 340 41 5 0 0
VODI 0 24 95 479 149 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 227 325 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 528 430 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 82 2028 5471 982
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80547 6998 192 290 62 1 0 0
OW 11 609 130 374 68 7 0 0
VODI 0 114 112 309 190 64 0 0
ODI 0 6 45 205 268 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 185 456 268 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 138 2170 5508 982

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79722 7434 175 202 34 13 0 0
OW 18 415 211 335 82 8 0 0
VODI 1 31 120 489 191 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 295 379 95 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 87 618 653 242 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 47 1317 6064 1107
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79719 7084 197 286 125 17 0 0
OW 22 691 138 317 121 16 0 0
VODI 0 100 147 425 180 81 0 0
ODI 0 5 28 256 363 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 123 492 424 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 70 1494 6238 1107


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