Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2865 2218 87 97 40 0 0 0
OW 0 126 101 164 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 34 279 183 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 92 258 148 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 328 836 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 180 4708 6598 13603
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2405 1980 102 118 0 0 0 0
OW 7 155 64 247 133 8 0 0
VODI 0 19 32 187 208 78 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 60 270 190 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 149 583 183 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1708 8397 15772
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1494 2391 68 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 198 86 207 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 26 305 95 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 87 334 20 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 322 605 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 895 7962 17799
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1180 2459 37 49 0 0 0 0
OW 0 258 143 129 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 39 270 81 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 9 161 184 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 315 279 107 1
VCDI 0 0 0 1 113 846 8253 18053
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1180 2502 76 59 0 0 0 0
OW 0 218 105 149 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 37 256 94 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 10 151 172 29 1 0
CDI 0 1 0 52 300 248 127 1
VCDI 0 0 0 2 127 874 8232 18053

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1029 2078 91 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 141 125 176 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 46 319 118 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 125 238 2 0 0
CDI 0 5 7 48 362 255 18 0
VCDI 0 12 0 30 168 1297 7190 19095
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1029 2097 115 69 0 0 0 0
OW 0 126 104 177 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 44 303 134 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 117 230 5 0 0
CDI 0 4 5 46 359 242 23 4
VCDI 0 12 0 28 168 1307 7185 19091

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 275 2050 154 214 17 0 0 0
OW 0 56 42 176 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 8 297 101 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 449 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 354 599 33 7
VCDI 0 0 0 14 131 1777 7902 18320
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 275 2031 162 282 24 0 0 0
OW 0 64 31 234 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 11 177 218 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 49 338 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 248 337 59 7
VCDI 0 0 0 32 184 1991 7876 18320

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 190 1604 146 256 40 0 0 0
OW 0 42 13 158 194 16 0 0
VODI 0 3 11 84 184 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 30 293 82 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 179 572 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 171 1487 7133 19992
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 190 1616 144 303 145 9 0 0
OW 0 31 22 137 131 22 0 0
VODI 0 2 7 66 264 60 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 178 176 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 145 506 171 1
VCDI 0 0 0 12 198 1412 7137 19991

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 165 1464 107 194 22 0 0 0
OW 1 85 33 268 133 10 0 0
VODI 0 15 7 110 193 16 0 0
ODI 0 15 7 29 144 115 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 7 181 584 94 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1017 8488 19525
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 165 1454 100 232 39 0 0 0
OW 1 95 35 234 153 16 0 0
VODI 0 20 12 106 221 23 0 0
ODI 0 10 8 36 126 136 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 126 384 37 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 1183 8545 19548


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