Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23548 3363 274 431 13 0 0 0
OW 36 324 100 542 506 14 0 0
VODI 12 94 28 248 869 372 1 0
ODI 1 82 10 37 674 451 12 0
CDI 2 23 13 23 218 1084 95 0
VCDI 0 3 4 42 106 1506 9210 16860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22797 2824 243 731 126 0 0 0
OW 26 305 64 460 362 38 0 0
VODI 3 77 41 224 573 423 0 0
ODI 0 35 4 122 503 759 0 0
CDI 0 26 10 36 535 951 68 0
VCDI 0 13 13 61 221 1722 9103 17732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22433 2825 241 467 212 0 0 0
OW 83 288 76 361 172 13 0 0
VODI 15 41 15 298 314 54 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 51 555 214 0 0
CDI 0 4 3 36 533 1612 109 11
VCDI 0 1 0 17 246 2025 8450 19450
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22398 2036 282 508 205 4 0 0
OW 76 276 85 601 193 1 0 0
VODI 20 62 26 354 309 25 10 0
ODI 1 32 4 80 449 135 20 0
CDI 0 7 2 20 245 809 148 0
VCDI 0 1 1 9 221 2408 7592 21576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22397 2051 292 658 268 5 0 0
OW 73 239 71 425 167 2 0 0
VODI 24 80 25 354 297 23 12 0
ODI 1 32 9 97 427 129 21 0
CDI 0 10 3 25 272 803 126 1
VCDI 0 2 0 13 191 2420 7611 21575

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22145 1727 212 483 3 0 0 0
OW 95 303 108 539 229 0 0 0
VODI 8 151 28 407 481 50 0 0
ODI 1 22 11 110 480 196 0 0
CDI 0 9 0 52 243 771 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 194 3097 10145 18873
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22131 1751 226 613 54 0 0 0
OW 105 265 85 436 261 1 0 0
VODI 12 150 33 340 421 70 0 0
ODI 1 30 12 131 417 192 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 63 271 730 54 0
VCDI 0 3 0 19 206 3121 10138 18873

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21412 2218 83 169 73 0 0 0
OW 47 414 79 339 144 0 0 0
VODI 12 85 62 697 372 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 117 781 144 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 350 1251 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 743 2747 7786 20996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21394 2124 88 301 263 0 0 0
OW 52 313 35 419 249 8 0 0
VODI 20 178 37 336 376 117 0 0
ODI 5 85 35 144 427 303 1 0
CDI 0 19 28 124 256 701 34 19
VCDI 0 1 1 83 892 3014 7772 20977

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22180 1599 63 80 9 0 0 0
OW 112 547 105 241 48 0 0 0
VODI 38 296 115 343 229 5 0 0
ODI 3 87 37 270 528 168 0 0
CDI 0 14 3 174 821 589 4 0
VCDI 0 1 1 48 821 3091 8685 19876
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22114 1531 92 149 0 0 0 0
OW 140 491 102 237 119 0 0 0
VODI 63 305 53 325 290 42 0 0
ODI 16 131 37 168 481 128 0 0
CDI 0 67 37 169 622 575 6 0
VCDI 0 19 3 108 944 3108 8683 19876

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22320 1290 63 114 25 0 0 0
OW 133 357 88 305 132 0 0 0
VODI 46 172 76 305 272 53 0 0
ODI 4 79 17 162 381 275 0 0
CDI 0 18 5 90 558 770 12 0
VCDI 0 3 0 14 442 4800 10880 16970
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22080 1061 81 215 97 0 0 0
OW 256 348 41 210 187 4 0 0
VODI 118 309 61 258 314 112 0 0
ODI 32 112 39 141 291 280 0 0
CDI 17 57 26 112 309 624 40 0
VCDI 0 32 1 54 612 4878 10852 16970


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