Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23548 3363 274 431 13 0 0 0
OW 36 324 100 542 506 14 0 0
VODI 12 94 28 248 869 372 1 0
ODI 1 82 10 37 674 451 12 0
CDI 2 23 13 23 218 1084 95 0
VCDI 0 3 4 42 106 1506 9210 16860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22797 2824 243 731 126 0 0 0
OW 26 305 64 460 362 38 0 0
VODI 3 77 41 224 573 423 0 0
ODI 0 35 4 122 503 759 0 0
CDI 0 26 10 36 535 951 68 0
VCDI 0 13 13 61 221 1722 9103 17732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22433 2825 241 467 212 0 0 0
OW 83 288 76 361 172 13 0 0
VODI 15 41 15 298 314 54 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 51 555 214 0 0
CDI 0 4 3 36 533 1612 109 11
VCDI 0 1 0 17 246 2025 8450 19450
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22398 2036 282 508 205 4 0 0
OW 76 276 85 601 193 1 0 0
VODI 20 62 26 354 309 25 10 0
ODI 1 32 4 80 449 135 20 0
CDI 0 7 2 20 245 809 148 0
VCDI 0 1 1 9 221 2408 7592 21576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22397 2051 292 658 268 5 0 0
OW 73 239 71 425 167 2 0 0
VODI 24 80 25 354 297 23 12 0
ODI 1 32 9 97 427 129 21 0
CDI 0 10 3 25 272 803 126 1
VCDI 0 2 0 13 191 2420 7611 21575

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22145 1727 212 483 3 0 0 0
OW 95 303 108 539 229 0 0 0
VODI 8 151 28 407 481 50 0 0
ODI 1 22 11 110 480 196 0 0
CDI 0 9 0 52 243 771 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 194 3097 10145 18873
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22131 1751 226 613 54 0 0 0
OW 105 265 85 436 261 1 0 0
VODI 12 150 33 340 421 70 0 0
ODI 1 30 12 131 417 192 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 63 271 730 54 0
VCDI 0 3 0 19 206 3121 10138 18873

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21401 2192 104 366 275 0 0 0
OW 51 271 26 377 250 4 0 0
VODI 16 174 31 319 378 112 0 0
ODI 3 64 32 139 353 293 0 0
CDI 0 17 30 117 320 679 35 0
VCDI 0 2 1 89 887 3055 7772 20996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21394 2124 88 301 263 0 0 0
OW 52 313 35 419 249 8 0 0
VODI 20 178 37 336 376 117 0 0
ODI 5 85 35 144 427 303 1 0
CDI 0 19 28 124 256 701 34 19
VCDI 0 1 1 83 892 3014 7772 20977

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22159 1570 91 106 14 0 0 0
OW 125 542 72 218 48 0 0 0
VODI 43 301 135 340 225 4 0 0
ODI 3 88 43 259 553 146 0 0
CDI 0 20 4 182 730 635 4 0
VCDI 0 1 1 54 886 3068 8685 19876
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22111 1529 97 149 0 0 0 0
OW 140 477 114 239 119 0 0 0
VODI 63 303 54 326 290 42 0 0
ODI 16 130 38 168 481 128 0 0
CDI 0 64 40 169 622 575 6 0
VCDI 0 19 3 108 944 3108 8683 19876

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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