Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110177 10909 493 608 56 0 0 0
OW 37 762 379 953 602 14 0 0
VODI 12 119 117 889 1241 408 1 0
ODI 1 82 13 267 1158 649 14 0
CDI 2 23 13 73 970 2449 117 0
VCDI 0 3 4 42 299 8655 20076 32056
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107514 11078 481 1088 133 0 0 0
OW 33 905 235 939 562 46 0 0
VODI 3 180 175 710 964 510 0 0
ODI 0 40 23 358 991 994 29 0
CDI 0 26 10 135 1139 2180 262 0
VCDI 0 13 13 61 236 5408 22333 34936
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106382 11448 419 633 212 0 0 0
OW 83 834 367 901 186 13 0 0
VODI 15 79 90 1063 640 54 0 0
ODI 0 7 7 309 1248 248 9 0
CDI 0 4 3 94 1323 2651 198 11
VCDI 0 1 0 17 298 5871 20800 38225
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105917 10827 399 624 207 4 0 0
OW 77 1007 421 992 252 1 0 0
VODI 20 203 167 1013 573 25 10 0
ODI 1 63 40 432 859 176 20 0
CDI 0 20 27 237 989 1434 255 1
VCDI 0 1 3 92 609 6392 19691 40662
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105917 10881 459 791 273 5 0 0
OW 73 944 370 851 212 2 0 0
VODI 24 212 158 975 578 25 12 0
ODI 1 58 40 453 838 172 22 0
CDI 0 24 28 221 1001 1438 253 2
VCDI 0 2 2 99 587 6390 19689 40661

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105430 10059 460 682 16 0 0 0
OW 99 978 428 1036 310 3 0 0
VODI 8 268 135 1166 761 79 0 0
ODI 1 38 39 439 870 236 0 0
CDI 0 25 20 299 1118 1112 65 0
VCDI 0 12 3 87 632 6938 21787 39104
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105419 10067 505 877 71 0 0 0
OW 106 959 386 923 326 4 0 0
VODI 12 268 132 1044 711 96 0 0
ODI 1 44 38 490 797 234 0 0
CDI 0 27 21 284 1156 1071 77 4
VCDI 0 15 3 91 646 6963 21775 39100

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103054 11339 398 616 103 0 0 0
OW 55 805 390 788 184 3 0 0
VODI 12 94 105 1551 621 12 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 395 1572 225 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 113 1180 2322 71 7
VCDI 0 0 0 51 935 6325 20646 40766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103038 10845 434 861 310 0 0 0
OW 58 1014 216 972 361 21 0 0
VODI 20 273 157 831 742 183 0 0
ODI 5 89 57 407 958 425 1 0
CDI 0 19 30 328 955 1249 94 26
VCDI 0 1 1 115 1269 7009 20622 40747

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102919 10526 382 573 106 3 0 0
OW 121 969 328 739 283 21 0 0
VODI 38 323 221 906 562 51 0 0
ODI 3 87 41 527 1146 338 0 0
CDI 0 14 3 285 1528 1591 237 0
VCDI 0 1 1 51 1074 6606 21289 40850
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102851 10145 428 742 207 10 0 0
OW 151 1131 254 748 318 29 0 0
VODI 63 421 172 700 744 166 0 0
ODI 16 137 82 388 927 366 1 0
CDI 0 67 37 358 1223 1349 197 1
VCDI 0 19 3 145 1280 6690 21328 40849

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102207 10188 345 510 81 13 0 0
OW 152 857 332 908 347 18 0 0
VODI 47 218 203 904 656 89 0 0
ODI 4 94 28 486 904 485 0 0
CDI 0 18 6 184 1357 2007 348 30
VCDI 0 3 0 21 525 7134 25432 37602
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101964 9599 378 733 261 17 0 0
OW 279 1134 214 761 461 36 0 0
VODI 118 429 220 789 715 216 0 0
ODI 32 127 75 433 780 490 0 0
CDI 17 57 26 235 927 1432 145 7
VCDI 0 32 1 62 726 7555 25635 37625


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