Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2024-11-07

Model: ARC-MFC PHYS (TOPAZ)

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-11

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 283 1349 96 68 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 33 198 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 10 273 109 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 62 356 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 248 469 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1869 7506 23839
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 283 1372 99 134 0 0 0 0
OW 0 74 24 222 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 14 160 196 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 64 236 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 236 336 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1969 7492 23839

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 261 3 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 128 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 76 114 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 280 1977 224
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 230 1 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 18 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 111 76 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 56 44 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 278 1971 224

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 24 86 6 0 0 0
OW 0 3 11 57 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 70 96 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 400 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 217 565 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 489 3137 4650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 22 88 24 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 79 98 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 45 186 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 180 86 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 198 241 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 93 750 3098 4650

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1417 170 431 77 0 0 0
OW 0 181 90 159 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 11 184 129 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 19 187 59 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 30 52 370 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 27 118 1539 289
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1363 165 461 112 0 0 0
OW 0 137 44 124 114 11 0 0
VODI 0 43 33 117 97 53 0 0
ODI 0 30 11 52 105 62 0 0
CDI 0 23 17 35 71 179 1 0
VCDI 0 16 6 43 48 252 1539 289

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 3 6 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 123 1261 5798
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 126 1261 5798

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 9 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 48 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 340 3230 1647
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 29 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 42 65 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 320 3164 1637

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1268 1721 53 25 0 0 0 0
OW 8 88 61 101 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 128 62 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 175 2 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 75 354 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 299 1825 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1272 1671 58 61 5 0 0 0
OW 4 127 49 103 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 24 88 188 64 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 26 147 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 26 218 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 226 1777 0

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11151 171 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11151 171 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6403 2236 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 220 121 107 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 197 94 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 197 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 226 418 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 405 975 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6403 2099 6 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 294 51 74 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 62 99 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 15 112 64 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 88 365 311 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 521 971 0

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11031 1635 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 28 61 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 64 86 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 39 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11031 1569 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 26 45 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 80 81 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1288 1608 99 144 2 0 0 0
OW 0 15 33 160 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 196 173 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 255 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 136 1061 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 350 137 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1288 1605 109 261 34 2 0 0
OW 0 20 26 189 153 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 70 250 147 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 70 464 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 75 524 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 328 94 1

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7993 412 3 6 0 0 0 0
OW 29 76 4 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 0 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7970 367 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 49 67 2 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 3 52 2 15 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15746 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15746 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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