Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84594 4944 60 158 18 0 0 0
OW 3 258 85 209 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 59 270 176 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 124 181 207 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 348 952 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 3248 4276 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83767 5627 67 87 14 0 0 0
OW 0 405 107 175 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 81 259 152 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 189 160 148 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 404 996 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3211 3801 527
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84187 5080 125 95 18 0 0 0
OW 0 306 143 298 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 11 498 209 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 446 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 343 1188 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2487 3895 863
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83645 5478 78 121 10 0 0 0
OW 1 302 145 260 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 33 336 254 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 101 293 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 423 536 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 2440 4912 877
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83645 5442 88 152 26 0 0 0
OW 1 338 146 262 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 22 329 259 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 77 277 57 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 402 537 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 2425 4915 877

Date: 2024-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82870 5947 158 190 3 0 0 0
OW 1 410 103 236 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 82 340 169 11 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 184 197 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 61 403 576 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 1895 4920 1474
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82869 5910 160 224 7 0 0 0
OW 2 450 105 240 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 83 328 179 6 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 159 179 75 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 409 588 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1866 4921 1474

Date: 2024-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82096 6576 129 154 0 0 0 0
OW 0 314 167 369 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 17 468 281 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 100 401 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 356 654 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1985 4903 1367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82095 6400 141 292 6 0 0 0
OW 1 431 83 298 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 72 262 268 3 0 0
ODI 0 4 17 149 184 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 107 495 442 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 2177 4899 1367

Date: 2024-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82359 6317 95 83 2 0 0 0
OW 1 315 157 411 56 2 0 0
VODI 0 32 53 440 220 18 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 171 271 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 94 433 425 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 173 3609 4222 407
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82358 5973 93 67 1 0 0 0
OW 2 477 109 391 85 7 0 0
VODI 0 157 65 286 218 15 0 0
ODI 0 53 29 271 214 71 0 0
CDI 0 5 18 184 524 724 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 113 3275 4183 407

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82624 6008 120 79 2 0 0 0
OW 1 584 151 289 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 146 311 192 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 26 190 218 3 0 0
CDI 0 22 13 167 487 133 0 0
VCDI 0 8 16 80 298 2712 4568 774
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82623 5390 77 70 0 0 0 0
OW 2 682 159 310 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 347 91 249 258 3 0 0
ODI 0 181 38 132 191 28 0 0
CDI 0 164 98 263 342 176 0 0
VCDI 0 3 9 92 363 2641 4568 774


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