Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4279 2196 24 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 379 95 179 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 59 218 103 7 0 0
ODI 0 11 22 164 321 69 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 151 583 810 173 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 351 5195 10854 6680
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4101 2238 31 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 314 71 166 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 87 307 127 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 17 167 281 106 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 128 618 623 86 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 412 4252 10489 8301
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3233 2353 113 122 1 0 0 0
OW 0 96 96 169 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 340 255 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 581 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 591 677 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 354 5858 7268 10752
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3010 2251 75 109 26 0 0 0
OW 0 139 100 191 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 35 272 180 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 131 303 113 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 403 905 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 669 5290 6915 11774
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3010 2281 76 109 35 0 0 0
OW 0 107 107 201 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 27 258 180 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 314 113 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 375 885 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 671 5308 6914 11774

Date: 2024-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2730 2087 100 101 26 0 0 0
OW 0 104 78 204 86 3 0 0
VODI 0 13 35 255 185 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 213 188 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 214 678 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 2924 7742 14875
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2730 2103 101 111 44 0 0 0
OW 0 100 82 196 91 14 0 0
VODI 0 1 30 252 197 66 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 179 195 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 189 650 159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 2921 7682 14875

Date: 2024-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2036 2104 102 58 0 0 0 0
OW 11 129 88 211 2 0 0 0
VODI 4 1 23 305 115 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 428 14 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 223 688 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1031 8165 17229
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2041 2047 110 111 5 0 0 0
OW 6 174 69 236 73 0 0 0
VODI 4 13 34 213 315 73 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 208 209 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 151 492 166 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 962 8032 17219

Date: 2024-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1421 2276 62 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 239 120 154 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 39 314 72 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 124 252 22 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 348 478 181 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 806 7689 18318
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1420 2074 76 111 0 0 0 0
OW 1 433 96 173 52 2 0 0
VODI 0 39 51 306 204 55 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 65 239 252 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 188 274 273 1
VCDI 0 0 0 1 52 723 7579 18318

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1223 2215 61 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 207 109 174 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 52 273 86 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 10 133 221 11 0 3
CDI 0 5 3 46 346 252 19 7
VCDI 0 11 0 11 119 1100 7938 18371
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1223 2242 102 76 6 0 0 0
OW 0 206 104 287 55 1 0 0
VODI 0 31 20 218 289 42 0 0
ODI 0 7 8 35 237 212 15 0
CDI 0 4 1 29 122 354 151 6
VCDI 0 0 0 14 79 754 7791 18375


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