Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86165 4518 68 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 152 73 155 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 70 135 65 58 0 0
ODI 0 4 12 128 90 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 134 284 164 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 193 2664 3650 1471
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83352 7063 77 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 125 71 189 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 26 241 91 42 0 0
ODI 0 8 13 115 161 16 0 0
CDI 0 1 15 55 360 371 0 0
VCDI 0 0 1 54 120 3385 3136 1163
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86170 4069 108 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 169 136 161 43 5 0 0
VODI 0 4 42 271 127 79 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 104 151 173 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 265 787 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 3114 3108 1145
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85236 4411 124 157 5 0 0 0
OW 1 219 115 193 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 50 275 168 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 122 226 203 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 315 1413 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 3343 3160 521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85237 4421 113 148 5 0 0 0
OW 0 203 118 190 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 56 285 164 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 119 245 184 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 291 1593 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 3175 3154 521

Date: 2024-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84354 5136 95 75 3 0 0 0
OW 1 399 106 158 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 102 240 134 15 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 195 142 157 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 474 830 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 708 571 3347 2999 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84355 5172 92 72 3 0 0 0
OW 0 360 103 151 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 107 249 112 29 0 0
ODI 0 4 9 199 153 145 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 467 924 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 708 577 3251 2986 0

Date: 2024-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84823 4700 38 43 11 0 0 0
OW 0 381 220 150 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 20 434 202 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 102 396 136 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 239 1799 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2400 3541 722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84823 4544 67 45 13 0 0 0
OW 0 446 95 173 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 97 239 138 7 0 0
ODI 0 4 19 200 182 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 453 1077 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 3162 3564 722

Date: 2024-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84003 5089 110 152 14 0 0 0
OW 1 314 162 269 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 37 370 246 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 98 411 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 420 611 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2840 4003 1148
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84004 4980 113 218 18 0 0 0
OW 0 362 99 249 89 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 83 181 278 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 167 238 77 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 494 564 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2866 3998 1148

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83764 5328 132 80 3 0 0 0
OW 1 312 178 247 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 55 362 189 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 138 226 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 424 529 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 2441 4268 1593
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83759 5117 138 148 29 0 0 0
OW 6 469 118 161 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 96 294 198 26 0 0
ODI 0 2 13 183 164 86 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 401 430 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 2478 4264 1593


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