Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3585 2439 109 227 496 3 0 0
OW 0 273 32 232 821 65 0 0
VODI 0 33 35 100 656 796 26 0
ODI 0 12 6 97 523 1393 241 0
CDI 0 15 19 167 438 3099 376 0
VCDI 0 2 9 89 239 4257 8880 3306
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1911 4170 107 169 116 51 0 0
OW 0 291 56 202 366 404 3 0
VODI 0 57 45 47 287 579 51 0
ODI 0 8 29 56 334 1091 104 0
CDI 0 0 7 191 356 2991 407 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 536 4564 8254 5221
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3838 2348 48 96 26 0 0 0
OW 0 291 95 191 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 37 232 166 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 133 332 214 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 544 2184 422 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 325 6254 9605 5599
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4340 2199 27 21 4 0 0 0
OW 0 397 85 114 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 51 171 87 6 0 0
ODI 0 15 40 141 303 79 19 0
CDI 0 0 8 157 566 994 139 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 343 6144 10443 6033
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4340 2152 34 28 12 0 0 0
OW 0 406 82 92 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 162 39 173 66 11 0 0
ODI 0 23 41 118 276 76 18 0
CDI 0 3 14 173 534 962 166 0
VCDI 0 0 1 27 417 6174 10417 6033

Date: 2024-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4195 2230 30 6 2 0 0 0
OW 0 314 66 201 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 81 240 131 3 0 0
ODI 0 13 14 156 338 55 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 129 621 719 125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 317 4880 9741 8292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4195 2241 35 18 1 0 0 0
OW 0 303 47 149 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 88 285 103 8 0 0
ODI 0 10 14 132 277 64 23 0
CDI 0 3 7 133 603 629 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 425 4956 9716 8292

Date: 2024-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3740 2297 56 36 0 0 0 0
OW 0 219 120 104 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 46 427 104 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 195 449 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 875 918 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 175 3911 10639 8599
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3740 2372 71 62 0 0 0 0
OW 0 182 97 133 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 49 411 196 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 93 340 72 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 518 404 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 531 4402 10668 8599

Date: 2024-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3011 2342 82 129 6 0 0 0
OW 0 108 68 257 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 11 271 194 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 102 473 104 0 0
CDI 0 3 11 42 431 897 9 0
VCDI 0 0 10 90 920 5655 6760 11051
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3011 2277 86 175 7 0 0 0
OW 0 141 40 219 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 32 228 253 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 113 362 148 0 0
CDI 0 2 6 49 265 653 3 0
VCDI 0 1 12 107 1144 5851 6766 11051

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2865 2218 87 97 40 0 0 0
OW 0 126 101 164 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 34 279 183 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 92 258 148 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 328 836 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 180 4708 6598 13603
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2865 1917 50 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 265 68 160 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 161 89 210 190 11 0 0
ODI 0 14 13 170 247 111 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 70 270 530 9 4
VCDI 0 0 0 3 322 5076 6607 13599


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