Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28804 5756 256 353 104 0 0 0
OW 27 551 195 621 284 7 0 0
VODI 2 42 78 556 504 125 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 141 568 318 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 265 1142 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 53 2616 9178 8550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28255 5112 135 100 12 0 0 0
OW 1 739 249 461 167 80 0 0
VODI 3 66 92 650 563 257 0 0
ODI 0 3 9 126 576 404 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 394 1148 301 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 1248 8801 11203
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27203 5301 280 134 4 0 0 0
OW 13 369 228 609 39 1 0 0
VODI 3 18 26 767 269 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 167 753 148 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 570 1267 285 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1480 8333 12929
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26394 5021 291 294 15 0 0 0
OW 11 466 209 634 88 1 0 0
VODI 3 73 50 634 390 13 7 0
ODI 0 0 5 169 549 132 19 0
CDI 0 0 1 45 611 706 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 113 1984 8922 13205
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26396 5178 317 392 20 1 0 0
OW 9 323 196 557 85 1 0 0
VODI 3 59 39 632 424 13 6 0
ODI 0 0 3 159 540 133 18 0
CDI 0 0 1 34 530 659 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 167 2029 8891 13205

Date: 2024-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24928 5061 242 731 32 0 0 0
OW 13 343 158 974 128 0 0 0
VODI 3 90 50 728 379 22 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 330 442 99 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 226 437 495 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1191 1430 2799 7249 12559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24918 5189 326 843 61 0 0 0
OW 23 235 94 896 110 1 0 0
VODI 3 70 32 711 431 32 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 329 471 116 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 210 351 437 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1191 1424 2829 7248 12559

Date: 2024-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24778 4226 324 332 5 0 0 0
OW 36 253 243 746 94 0 0 0
VODI 3 18 28 948 444 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 864 145 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 461 1219 148 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 60 2285 9315 14114
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24700 4178 412 694 47 0 0 0
OW 97 257 131 747 317 9 0 0
VODI 20 55 33 547 652 188 0 0
ODI 0 7 12 91 496 401 18 0
CDI 0 0 7 49 296 602 86 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 120 2460 9361 14114

Date: 2024-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24015 3692 249 564 177 0 0 0
OW 17 318 155 690 338 0 0 0
VODI 12 69 25 630 700 58 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 138 624 242 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 33 455 926 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 89 2442 9082 15427
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24015 3613 296 612 155 0 0 0
OW 16 277 96 879 520 32 0 0
VODI 12 167 20 381 856 265 0 0
ODI 1 22 7 112 467 457 19 0
CDI 0 5 10 46 301 775 202 0
VCDI 0 0 3 34 84 2139 8908 15427

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23548 3363 274 431 13 0 0 0
OW 36 324 100 542 506 14 0 0
VODI 12 94 28 248 869 372 1 0
ODI 1 82 10 37 674 451 12 0
CDI 2 23 13 23 218 1084 95 0
VCDI 0 3 4 42 106 1506 9210 16860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23563 3302 257 452 105 2 0 0
OW 24 322 120 454 750 34 0 0
VODI 9 91 9 307 868 557 15 0
ODI 3 98 22 45 416 736 60 0
CDI 0 44 6 14 143 899 307 0
VCDI 0 32 15 51 104 1199 8936 16860


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