Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-10-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118554 12713 433 607 600 3 0 0
OW 27 976 300 1008 1169 72 0 0
VODI 2 104 183 791 1225 979 26 0
ODI 0 18 21 366 1181 1748 241 0
CDI 0 15 19 372 987 4405 433 0
VCDI 0 2 9 97 485 9537 21708 13327
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113518 16345 319 344 128 51 0 0
OW 1 1155 376 852 597 484 3 0
VODI 3 149 163 938 941 878 51 0
ODI 0 19 51 297 1071 1511 114 0
CDI 0 1 22 282 1110 4510 708 0
VCDI 0 0 1 89 686 9197 20191 17587
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117211 11718 436 282 30 0 0 0
OW 13 829 459 961 129 6 0 0
VODI 3 48 105 1270 562 107 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 404 1236 535 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 1379 4238 726 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 397 10848 21046 19673
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115970 11631 442 472 24 0 0 0
OW 12 1082 409 941 155 1 0 0
VODI 3 217 151 1080 645 52 7 0
ODI 0 15 48 432 1078 414 38 0
CDI 0 0 9 232 1492 3113 329 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 480 11471 22525 19759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115973 11751 464 568 37 1 0 0
OW 9 932 396 839 155 1 0 0
VODI 3 236 134 1090 654 64 6 0
ODI 0 23 49 396 1061 393 36 0
CDI 0 3 15 242 1355 3214 395 0
VCDI 0 0 1 36 612 11378 22462 19759

Date: 2024-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113477 12427 367 812 37 0 0 0
OW 14 1056 330 1333 204 0 0 0
VODI 3 281 233 1208 644 40 0 0
ODI 0 18 28 681 922 311 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 418 1532 2044 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1912 2318 11026 19989 20851
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113468 12602 453 933 65 0 0 0
OW 23 898 244 1196 198 1 0 0
VODI 3 264 227 1245 646 69 0 0
ODI 0 15 27 660 901 325 24 0
CDI 0 3 7 403 1421 1990 242 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1927 2426 11036 19950 20851

Date: 2024-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113341 11223 418 411 16 0 0 0
OW 36 853 583 1000 104 0 0 0
VODI 3 71 94 1809 750 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 402 1709 334 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 1575 3936 255 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 235 8596 23495 23435
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113263 11094 550 801 60 0 0 0
OW 97 885 323 1053 399 9 0 0
VODI 20 157 179 1197 986 199 0 0
ODI 0 11 36 384 1018 562 19 0
CDI 0 0 7 196 1267 2083 140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 659 10024 23593 23435

Date: 2024-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111029 11123 441 845 197 0 0 0
OW 18 740 385 1216 420 0 0 0
VODI 12 76 73 1271 1140 58 0 0
ODI 0 5 6 338 1508 402 3 0
CDI 0 3 12 87 1306 2434 69 0
VCDI 0 0 10 99 1009 10937 19845 27626
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111030 10870 495 1005 180 0 0 0
OW 16 780 235 1347 656 32 0 0
VODI 12 265 135 790 1387 269 0 0
ODI 1 24 31 392 1067 682 19 0
CDI 0 7 16 181 1060 1992 226 0
VCDI 0 1 15 141 1230 10856 19672 27626

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110177 10909 493 608 56 0 0 0
OW 37 762 379 953 602 14 0 0
VODI 12 119 117 889 1241 408 1 0
ODI 1 82 13 267 1158 649 14 0
CDI 2 23 13 73 970 2449 117 0
VCDI 0 3 4 42 299 8655 20076 32056
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110187 10336 445 632 134 2 0 0
OW 30 1056 306 775 852 34 0 0
VODI 9 316 194 811 1256 594 15 0
ODI 3 114 48 398 827 933 60 0
CDI 0 44 11 162 814 1859 326 4
VCDI 0 32 15 54 443 8753 19807 32052


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