Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87397 3637 32 30 0 0 0 0
OW 2 180 101 118 16 0 0 0
VODI 1 44 72 167 108 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 21 87 116 65 0 0
CDI 0 4 23 213 179 241 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 136 1522 3885 1933
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87242 3725 7 10 3 0 0 0
OW 0 298 69 60 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 34 182 95 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 44 81 130 7 0 0
CDI 0 9 21 176 259 179 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 120 2790 3755 944
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86503 4333 65 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 143 128 228 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 17 259 122 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 100 213 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 357 1102 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 2746 3891 70
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86122 4596 59 62 0 0 0 0
OW 0 79 98 207 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 16 159 152 6 0 0
ODI 0 7 11 68 151 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 10 64 260 252 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 116 2598 3942 1268
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86122 4583 60 75 2 0 0 0
OW 0 93 95 204 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 19 149 152 5 0 0
ODI 0 5 14 68 142 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 64 264 283 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 110 2572 3942 1268

Date: 2024-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83902 6639 59 63 0 0 0 0
OW 0 172 122 92 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 47 194 110 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 16 173 82 19 0 0
CDI 0 4 17 96 388 146 0 0
VCDI 0 0 1 17 142 3269 3875 649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83902 6652 77 69 0 0 0 0
OW 0 165 114 113 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 41 188 104 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 14 152 86 7 0 0
CDI 0 2 16 95 392 168 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 141 3259 3875 649

Date: 2024-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86361 4044 78 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 124 161 176 40 15 0 0
VODI 0 1 18 296 176 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 76 138 169 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 244 816 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 78 2907 3636 679
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86361 3990 85 113 4 0 0 0
OW 0 141 90 103 93 30 0 0
VODI 0 33 53 146 85 77 0 0
ODI 0 5 24 150 72 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 117 307 384 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 115 3410 3637 679

Date: 2024-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85683 4225 119 138 0 0 0 0
OW 1 188 121 187 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 42 255 165 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 101 195 160 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 309 1158 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 3436 3557 158
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85683 4087 130 235 55 1 0 0
OW 1 241 45 69 94 37 0 0
VODI 0 79 71 160 92 89 0 0
ODI 0 20 35 145 114 123 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 116 335 517 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 81 4034 3563 158

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84594 4944 60 158 18 0 0 0
OW 3 258 85 209 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 59 270 176 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 124 181 207 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 348 952 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 3248 4276 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84593 4805 91 331 85 0 0 0
OW 4 305 26 88 124 17 0 0
VODI 0 108 81 163 95 141 0 0
ODI 0 5 8 169 92 164 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 390 550 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 3565 4284 0


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