Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5168 6011 446 1070 924 0 0 0
OW 0 854 139 678 599 73 0 0
VODI 0 191 64 298 370 194 0 0
ODI 0 62 26 119 200 246 3 0
CDI 0 26 31 96 116 451 133 0
VCDI 0 3 12 80 192 793 5635 7793
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5064 4154 360 841 516 121 0 0
OW 0 821 170 590 1188 476 0 0
VODI 0 266 64 528 781 453 0 0
ODI 0 76 9 181 315 329 9 0
CDI 0 45 57 122 222 542 158 0
VCDI 0 2 9 125 173 1112 5587 7630
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3977 3336 371 709 115 9 0 0
OW 2 695 204 665 566 101 0 0
VODI 0 146 79 298 759 444 1 0
ODI 0 52 28 122 981 1060 53 0
CDI 0 25 43 103 984 2173 157 0
VCDI 0 1 15 116 269 1761 6267 6409
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3364 2744 111 519 692 0 0 0
OW 0 270 69 284 601 113 0 0
VODI 0 40 56 247 911 895 4 0
ODI 0 16 26 98 551 1336 38 0
CDI 0 21 10 177 706 2911 391 0
VCDI 0 13 14 75 318 4147 7988 3340
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3364 2782 111 546 873 31 0 0
OW 0 232 65 250 458 223 0 0
VODI 0 45 63 221 802 874 2 0
ODI 0 14 22 121 632 1380 27 0
CDI 0 20 11 182 649 2871 428 0
VCDI 0 11 14 80 365 4023 7964 3340

Date: 2024-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1874 4248 80 163 241 38 0 0
OW 0 249 59 206 533 385 0 0
VODI 0 39 41 65 370 652 22 0
ODI 0 9 27 60 462 1447 92 0
CDI 0 0 13 151 459 3035 469 0
VCDI 0 0 0 61 357 4441 8491 4257
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1874 4267 69 198 438 151 0 0
OW 0 221 65 152 372 383 6 0
VODI 0 49 45 88 327 736 40 0
ODI 0 8 30 63 400 1304 77 0
CDI 0 0 11 146 486 3106 496 0
VCDI 0 0 0 59 399 4318 8455 4257

Date: 2024-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3813 2341 58 87 14 0 0 0
OW 0 331 102 148 87 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 27 287 172 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 116 439 482 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 395 4223 463 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 379 4282 9048 5653
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3813 2241 70 172 265 98 4 0
OW 0 361 66 170 205 338 53 0
VODI 0 78 31 116 161 408 188 0
ODI 0 4 20 68 114 890 182 0
CDI 0 0 0 145 220 2419 448 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 521 4862 8709 5653

Date: 2024-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4166 2240 43 42 20 0 0 0
OW 0 359 70 130 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 69 168 119 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 151 292 141 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 118 556 1399 213 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 322 6614 9938 5752
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4166 2109 70 153 266 20 0 0
OW 0 402 70 143 216 89 22 0
VODI 0 120 14 102 140 324 173 0
ODI 0 44 21 48 138 515 224 0
CDI 0 13 30 132 286 1406 617 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 300 5810 9128 5752

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4279 2196 24 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 379 95 179 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 59 218 103 7 0 0
ODI 0 11 22 164 321 69 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 151 583 810 173 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 351 5195 10854 6680
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4279 2077 90 190 232 73 0 0
OW 0 419 58 153 151 78 5 0
VODI 0 146 16 103 182 389 113 0
ODI 0 38 20 72 184 419 219 0
CDI 0 16 16 176 375 1043 650 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 259 4079 10056 6680


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