Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31812 5250 161 268 27 0 0 0
OW 11 527 192 483 186 17 0 0
VODI 0 73 49 522 438 135 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 133 483 351 0 0
CDI 0 21 0 26 422 1238 150 0
VCDI 0 3 0 56 100 2877 8998 6212
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31309 4997 61 83 4 0 0 0
OW 3 962 230 486 126 0 0 0
VODI 0 153 111 676 394 161 0 0
ODI 0 25 14 207 400 324 23 0
CDI 0 1 0 35 385 802 206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 182 2906 7872 8076
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31783 4907 127 113 4 0 0 0
OW 7 1159 314 393 36 0 0 0
VODI 1 27 95 698 262 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 214 599 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 1176 194 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 850 2788 7157 8262
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29856 5606 241 259 45 0 0 0
OW 33 655 232 554 213 0 0 0
VODI 2 53 49 512 546 45 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 173 588 219 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 394 1028 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 115 3400 8010 8329
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29867 5738 260 341 67 0 0 0
OW 22 534 219 445 205 0 0 0
VODI 2 43 44 560 545 30 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 156 585 263 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 369 1056 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 130 3343 7997 8329

Date: 2024-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27775 6132 130 265 4 2 0 0
OW 0 711 246 515 286 52 0 0
VODI 3 84 101 479 588 203 0 0
ODI 0 6 9 160 528 386 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 320 1089 302 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 1593 8867 10259
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27774 6276 187 364 70 2 0 0
OW 1 581 193 424 306 61 0 0
VODI 3 74 101 474 536 194 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 163 487 449 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 317 1097 405 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 1522 8773 10263

Date: 2024-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27782 5290 166 59 3 0 0 0
OW 4 466 295 441 19 1 0 0
VODI 3 7 55 853 259 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 956 485 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 425 1315 280 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1300 8402 12209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27769 4810 186 201 43 0 0 0
OW 17 819 218 444 145 76 0 0
VODI 3 132 107 616 515 317 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 177 509 525 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 333 751 271 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 123 1446 8422 12209

Date: 2024-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26821 5089 257 232 1 0 0 0
OW 9 450 227 608 57 0 0 0
VODI 3 41 29 688 350 10 6 0
ODI 0 0 4 154 663 131 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 672 995 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1567 9027 12905
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26812 4417 239 359 46 0 0 0
OW 18 1005 150 411 160 0 1 0
VODI 3 155 113 613 461 180 5 0
ODI 0 3 13 244 631 445 17 0
CDI 0 0 2 51 378 878 232 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 83 1200 8980 12905

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25581 5132 404 444 53 0 0 0
OW 6 390 180 684 163 5 0 0
VODI 3 55 68 524 534 76 3 0
ODI 0 6 5 104 515 191 9 0
CDI 0 6 8 26 538 529 201 0
VCDI 0 1 0 9 128 2011 10470 12169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25583 4765 350 625 88 0 0 0
OW 4 557 138 439 220 11 0 0
VODI 3 228 132 414 536 186 18 0
ODI 0 24 29 226 451 357 74 0
CDI 0 7 6 60 479 748 378 0
VCDI 0 9 10 27 157 1510 10213 12169


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