Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87272 3588 59 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 130 97 88 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 61 137 86 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 21 95 110 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 152 309 126 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 171 1968 3583 2292
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87777 3217 24 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 194 69 112 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 19 70 110 8 0 0
ODI 0 77 26 32 62 59 0 0
CDI 0 43 80 202 118 139 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 66 332 1422 3750 2291
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87722 3410 11 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 294 100 60 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 43 165 72 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 29 54 117 72 0 0
CDI 0 23 43 197 176 312 21 1
VCDI 0 0 2 24 160 1499 3455 2250
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87450 3607 29 19 0 0 0 0
OW 3 194 84 138 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 35 173 114 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 17 73 119 60 0 0
CDI 0 34 52 154 145 316 26 1
VCDI 0 1 5 52 170 1623 4283 1341
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87450 3617 24 12 0 0 0 0
OW 3 182 94 151 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 31 179 98 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 16 62 134 39 0 0
CDI 0 35 55 154 143 340 20 2
VCDI 0 0 2 51 167 1620 4289 1340

Date: 2024-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87117 3853 24 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 216 84 88 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 57 170 109 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 19 107 120 28 0 0
CDI 0 1 7 204 242 190 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 103 1441 4488 1580
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87117 3915 31 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 171 90 113 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 43 183 97 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 20 95 123 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 185 243 223 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 104 1421 4494 1580

Date: 2024-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87425 3588 15 5 3 0 0 0
OW 0 307 165 66 18 0 0 0
VODI 3 7 50 258 91 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 138 166 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 88 361 1155 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 2607 3348 536
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87425 3589 38 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 213 75 91 40 0 0 0
VODI 3 86 60 132 99 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 50 130 106 10 0 0
CDI 0 1 7 186 359 291 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 39 3467 3352 536

Date: 2024-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86936 3810 90 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 93 98 271 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 20 192 143 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 72 179 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 275 688 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 87 2834 3803 640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86936 3719 86 70 3 0 0 0
OW 0 155 72 166 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 40 195 138 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 15 176 145 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 360 662 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 2862 3781 640

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86165 4518 68 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 152 73 155 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 70 135 65 58 0 0
ODI 0 4 12 128 90 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 134 284 164 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 193 2664 3650 1471
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86165 4321 46 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 237 55 114 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 119 49 111 68 61 0 0
ODI 0 26 63 140 82 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 10 177 284 125 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 202 2698 3622 1471


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