Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9345 6912 135 85 0 0 0 0
OW 1 487 190 333 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 43 333 209 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 371 138 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 187 806 112 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 52 690 6058 6450
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7278 8575 281 257 2 0 0 0
OW 2 532 243 395 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 45 346 204 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 17 113 288 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 76 313 488 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 129 1010 5665 6650
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5034 9978 464 525 13 0 0 0
OW 0 274 166 633 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 8 423 394 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 459 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 231 593 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 957 5185 7528
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5111 7586 661 1382 62 0 0 0
OW 2 763 104 447 284 28 0 0
VODI 0 153 58 253 381 101 0 0
ODI 0 7 35 89 208 249 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 113 119 481 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 205 743 5529 7833
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5113 7804 687 1531 130 13 0 0
OW 0 562 89 331 283 29 0 0
VODI 0 137 51 242 352 135 0 0
ODI 0 6 31 68 173 229 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 108 115 447 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 206 749 5541 7833

Date: 2024-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5111 4981 442 901 527 237 0 0
OW 1 832 153 543 1377 113 0 0
VODI 0 273 64 406 540 236 6 0
ODI 0 68 16 176 262 286 1 0
CDI 0 28 38 103 167 519 127 0
VCDI 0 8 14 101 175 865 5626 7773
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5112 5213 484 1057 847 271 0 0
OW 0 639 136 463 1200 133 4 0
VODI 0 234 39 365 451 235 3 0
ODI 0 65 15 146 228 272 0 0
CDI 0 31 36 100 155 429 95 0
VCDI 0 8 17 99 167 916 5658 7773

Date: 2024-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4276 4235 348 701 94 14 0 0
OW 1 751 230 630 383 60 0 0
VODI 0 82 54 487 875 457 2 0
ODI 0 11 20 171 1280 811 29 0
CDI 0 1 4 109 688 1698 88 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 186 1105 6253 6930
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4277 3823 307 943 656 297 1 0
OW 0 747 168 478 826 1004 37 0
VODI 0 348 96 356 871 701 56 0
ODI 0 69 27 117 501 378 9 0
CDI 0 86 43 102 365 532 121 0
VCDI 0 7 15 134 287 1233 6148 6930

Date: 2024-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3466 2931 249 1029 207 0 0 0
OW 0 425 85 583 477 106 0 0
VODI 0 63 47 564 844 663 1 0
ODI 0 23 8 147 624 1257 42 0
CDI 0 24 14 194 790 2828 198 0
VCDI 0 12 13 81 262 3210 7916 3713
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3466 2725 217 1118 324 206 4 0
OW 0 359 75 378 731 1154 90 0
VODI 0 204 60 546 957 1703 121 0
ODI 0 86 17 220 578 846 24 0
CDI 0 67 22 178 413 1398 262 0
VCDI 0 37 25 158 201 2757 7656 3713

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3585 2439 109 227 496 3 0 0
OW 0 273 32 232 821 65 0 0
VODI 0 33 35 100 656 796 26 0
ODI 0 12 6 97 523 1393 241 0
CDI 0 15 19 167 438 3099 376 0
VCDI 0 2 9 89 239 4257 8880 3306
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3585 2182 86 289 829 74 0 0
OW 0 246 28 157 730 744 9 0
VODI 0 223 38 59 746 1991 423 0
ODI 0 68 22 67 424 1964 201 0
CDI 0 43 15 204 193 1938 486 0
VCDI 0 12 21 136 251 2902 8404 3306


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