Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34582 5810 232 103 0 0 0 0
OW 23 341 246 879 122 0 0 0
VODI 5 34 25 447 759 82 0 0
ODI 2 13 1 65 647 510 15 0
CDI 7 24 4 9 201 1595 847 0
VCDI 1 24 2 33 180 1903 5827 5631
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34118 5215 241 327 2 0 0 0
OW 41 402 185 668 288 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 41 302 717 321 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 94 335 750 29 0
CDI 0 20 0 11 147 1248 1097 0
VCDI 0 5 0 22 124 1790 7188 5425
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33071 5641 247 195 0 0 0 0
OW 8 255 197 575 36 0 0 0
VODI 1 33 26 619 401 16 0 0
ODI 1 16 3 132 692 185 18 0
CDI 9 17 5 28 359 1727 430 0
VCDI 0 19 4 31 96 2916 7433 5789
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32289 5328 241 307 9 0 0 0
OW 15 378 145 493 159 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 33 559 468 39 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 115 615 300 0 0
CDI 1 27 1 23 418 1263 197 0
VCDI 0 23 1 24 61 2595 8692 6379
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32279 5282 243 348 14 0 0 0
OW 25 401 123 435 149 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 53 524 411 34 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 166 577 230 0 0
CDI 1 25 1 23 506 1235 159 0
VCDI 0 25 1 25 73 2698 8730 6379

Date: 2024-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31493 5117 132 163 10 0 0 0
OW 6 710 221 523 191 1 0 0
VODI 0 132 81 566 406 176 0 0
ODI 0 13 14 138 462 336 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 54 383 1171 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 133 2667 8941 6827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31479 5169 205 235 23 0 0 0
OW 20 601 133 421 241 14 0 0
VODI 0 181 95 587 316 154 0 0
ODI 0 20 15 147 395 254 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 49 485 1119 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 125 2810 9025 6827

Date: 2024-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31679 4893 66 98 5 0 0 0
OW 2 1231 367 335 24 0 0 0
VODI 1 44 29 817 260 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 100 789 127 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 626 868 86 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 353 2696 7358 8325
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31678 4564 121 124 0 0 0 0
OW 4 962 171 393 97 0 0 0
VODI 0 547 123 432 450 58 0 0
ODI 0 79 35 237 319 159 5 0
CDI 0 18 13 157 351 508 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 840 2967 7419 8325

Date: 2024-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31389 4768 232 230 3 0 0 0
OW 44 829 287 581 61 0 0 0
VODI 1 47 69 679 380 19 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 220 568 104 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 552 872 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 186 3843 7043 8183
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31378 3937 157 278 9 0 0 0
OW 55 1138 154 464 160 0 0 0
VODI 1 517 220 503 498 106 0 0
ODI 0 52 55 296 322 239 1 0
CDI 0 1 5 185 536 764 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 225 3729 7016 8183

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28804 5756 256 353 104 0 0 0
OW 27 551 195 621 284 7 0 0
VODI 2 42 78 556 504 125 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 141 568 318 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 265 1142 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 53 2616 9178 8550
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28773 4860 164 211 196 0 0 0
OW 58 1070 209 486 166 29 0 0
VODI 2 359 126 674 606 219 0 0
ODI 0 61 17 207 419 622 0 0
CDI 0 1 16 157 269 956 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 122 2382 9114 8550


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