Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88144 3049 98 114 27 0 0 0
OW 0 150 49 166 88 12 0 0
VODI 0 6 24 161 71 66 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 110 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 184 226 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 945 4074 2496
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87776 3209 83 96 55 5 0 0
OW 0 116 54 175 65 50 0 0
VODI 0 16 16 146 69 70 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 103 52 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 203 197 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 1262 4127 2327
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87199 3698 107 111 1 0 0 0
OW 0 30 65 180 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 147 129 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 118 65 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 202 298 60 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 633 4678 2564
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87777 3065 95 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 45 194 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 8 169 121 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 117 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 285 262 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 1265 4021 2704
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87777 3054 95 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 73 46 185 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 7 171 113 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 137 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 272 269 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 1254 4018 2704

Date: 2024-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87229 3675 23 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 191 59 97 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 44 101 100 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 34 54 94 33 0 0
CDI 0 1 26 225 225 114 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 300 2011 3504 2118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87229 3657 24 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 206 57 95 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 42 93 101 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 49 59 94 26 0 0
CDI 0 1 14 226 217 109 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 307 2023 3503 2118

Date: 2024-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87760 3287 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 393 105 37 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 51 190 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 39 61 146 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 19 196 312 358 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 75 1050 3319 2880
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87760 3253 21 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 208 70 109 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 16 65 117 19 0 0
ODI 0 87 21 24 50 59 0 0
CDI 0 71 85 169 101 140 9 0
VCDI 0 0 6 115 303 1217 3311 2880

Date: 2024-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87616 3490 17 13 0 0 0 0
OW 2 237 92 94 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 46 156 110 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 15 57 90 101 0 0
CDI 0 45 53 139 143 329 21 2
VCDI 0 0 4 71 147 1635 4535 1035
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87618 3285 42 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 178 58 162 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 146 24 59 131 34 0 0
ODI 0 81 24 44 40 82 0 0
CDI 0 137 26 91 127 267 1 2
VCDI 0 59 53 162 182 1682 4555 1035

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87397 3637 32 30 0 0 0 0
OW 2 180 101 118 16 0 0 0
VODI 1 44 72 167 108 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 21 87 116 65 0 0
CDI 0 4 23 213 179 241 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 136 1522 3885 1933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87400 3305 61 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 152 45 180 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 157 12 65 125 24 0 0
ODI 0 97 32 37 61 67 0 0
CDI 0 133 63 148 95 193 29 0
VCDI 0 33 36 184 233 1544 3902 1933


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