Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-10-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137552 13614 366 264 32 0 0 0
OW 80 823 494 967 204 17 0 0
VODI 0 54 116 1208 638 122 0 0
ODI 0 15 0 266 988 445 27 0
CDI 0 32 2 38 656 1869 587 0
VCDI 0 14 1 13 216 4943 19490 8590
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136368 13690 295 298 63 5 0 0
OW 104 987 444 1019 237 54 0 0
VODI 2 79 115 1168 790 138 0 0
ODI 0 21 1 389 873 574 27 0
CDI 0 33 2 38 697 1807 888 0
VCDI 0 25 8 25 204 4331 16868 12076
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 134054 15485 405 287 6 0 0 0
OW 21 616 488 933 106 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 61 1364 658 73 0 0
ODI 0 11 0 194 1369 358 6 0
CDI 0 20 0 21 533 2690 348 1
VCDI 0 13 0 0 105 2758 18671 13053
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132994 15074 422 279 6 0 0 0
OW 12 786 433 1355 126 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 53 1086 968 94 0 0
ODI 0 17 1 185 1212 607 36 0
CDI 0 27 5 34 602 2624 951 0
VCDI 0 16 3 54 225 3856 15149 15411
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133001 15108 522 526 14 0 0 0
OW 5 749 338 1142 198 14 0 0
VODI 0 40 48 1049 943 152 3 0
ODI 0 20 1 189 1144 583 59 0
CDI 0 25 3 34 609 2489 917 0
VCDI 0 18 5 53 231 3943 15157 15411

Date: 2024-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 129775 17159 461 411 1 0 0 0
OW 44 1061 427 1199 290 0 0 0
VODI 0 179 115 792 1114 141 3 0
ODI 2 54 52 260 957 686 15 0
CDI 7 19 33 300 696 2234 1114 0
VCDI 0 22 3 49 600 4849 16135 13484
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 129781 17274 562 687 55 0 0 0
OW 38 944 311 1050 365 4 0 0
VODI 0 176 129 668 1107 194 9 0
ODI 2 59 65 248 859 646 26 0
CDI 7 19 21 315 647 2255 1071 0
VCDI 0 22 3 43 625 4811 16161 13484

Date: 2024-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127805 17928 486 502 3 0 0 0
OW 25 1116 581 908 56 0 0 0
VODI 1 88 85 1500 557 7 75 0
ODI 0 18 44 171 1550 198 72 0
CDI 0 22 19 228 917 3079 274 0
VCDI 0 2 0 24 202 4240 16598 15362
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127801 17804 657 1069 117 0 0 0
OW 28 907 314 1009 464 80 0 0
VODI 2 255 101 615 964 567 0 0
ODI 0 109 46 209 585 779 55 0
CDI 0 91 91 274 555 1727 633 0
VCDI 0 8 6 157 600 4371 16331 15362

Date: 2024-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124987 18602 809 920 71 1 0 0
OW 16 976 371 1152 315 25 0 0
VODI 0 154 109 1054 1127 45 0 0
ODI 1 49 18 280 978 516 0 0
CDI 9 67 54 217 766 2404 207 2
VCDI 0 32 11 86 367 5028 18159 14758
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124976 17769 798 1157 270 60 0 0
OW 27 1318 297 1091 578 174 0 0
VODI 0 403 120 739 1140 655 68 0
ODI 1 124 56 298 517 610 221 0
CDI 9 159 41 212 515 1333 578 2
VCDI 0 107 60 212 604 5187 17499 14758

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124377 14898 639 1368 951 0 0 0
OW 13 1561 432 1279 801 90 0 0
VODI 1 308 185 987 916 329 0 0
ODI 0 81 50 339 799 662 3 0
CDI 0 51 54 335 717 1930 329 0
VCDI 0 6 12 164 428 5192 18518 15938
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124365 13982 656 1616 1306 71 0 0
OW 26 1657 278 1038 707 237 0 0
VODI 0 688 205 802 1122 797 56 0
ODI 0 238 61 329 451 990 306 0
CDI 0 275 91 266 341 989 1003 45
VCDI 0 65 81 421 685 5119 17485 15893


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