Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88742 3143 93 104 58 0 0 0
OW 18 78 75 148 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 17 153 85 14 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 81 101 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 215 225 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 2375 2851 1622
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89059 2842 69 95 38 0 0 0
OW 24 119 39 67 97 27 0 0
VODI 0 38 63 81 69 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 12 97 23 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 98 158 98 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 123 2632 2762 1584
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88572 3161 87 97 17 0 0 0
OW 13 124 94 143 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 9 148 99 32 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 38 121 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 140 337 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 1100 4404 1531
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87722 3625 83 94 35 0 0 0
OW 0 127 82 152 94 18 0 0
VODI 0 9 15 157 83 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 123 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 124 259 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 1248 3784 2337
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87722 3628 103 102 45 1 0 0
OW 0 118 61 142 76 22 0 0
VODI 0 15 16 159 97 61 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 118 73 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 140 286 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 1216 3779 2337

Date: 2024-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87635 3492 87 98 33 0 0 0
OW 0 132 67 163 86 17 0 0
VODI 0 8 32 131 63 68 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 60 89 65 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 179 195 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 1149 3475 3011
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87635 3494 92 110 44 0 0 0
OW 0 127 61 140 77 19 0 0
VODI 0 11 33 142 57 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 63 89 75 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 202 221 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 1116 3467 3011

Date: 2024-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87006 3930 79 108 3 0 0 0
OW 0 55 104 159 49 7 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 213 93 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 136 45 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 207 382 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 802 5128 1784
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87006 3863 93 164 75 27 0 0
OW 0 115 57 120 67 43 0 0
VODI 0 11 28 114 58 72 3 0
ODI 0 0 6 87 52 57 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 202 189 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 875 5074 1784

Date: 2024-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87763 3079 109 64 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 66 162 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 19 171 107 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 92 92 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 262 284 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 720 4952 2283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87763 2956 73 127 55 21 0 0
OW 0 136 44 55 52 40 0 0
VODI 0 30 58 125 64 68 0 0
ODI 0 7 13 107 33 56 17 0
CDI 0 0 6 96 235 160 101 1
VCDI 0 0 0 4 49 734 4848 2282

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87272 3588 59 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 130 97 88 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 61 137 86 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 21 95 110 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 152 309 126 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 171 1968 3583 2292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87272 3426 89 148 23 0 0 0
OW 0 172 29 40 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 42 43 125 12 0 0
ODI 0 44 39 62 31 58 0 0
CDI 0 9 40 185 172 82 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 245 1948 3583 2292


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