Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14091 4872 123 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 203 175 431 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 23 366 378 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 535 140 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 132 1489 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 30 2005 6181 1509
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13858 4844 81 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 261 202 467 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 20 343 410 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 45 405 177 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 133 924 681 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 41 969 8164 964
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13770 4985 124 34 1 0 0 0
OW 0 126 182 324 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 479 149 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 519 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 175 877 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 711 8332 2158
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13936 4551 120 65 0 0 0 0
OW 0 157 186 362 29 1 0 0
VODI 0 3 13 447 193 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 451 120 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 163 995 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1620 6873 2653
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13936 4618 161 97 1 0 0 0
OW 0 93 155 367 39 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 409 220 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 407 122 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 169 950 146 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1666 6848 2653

Date: 2024-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13236 4644 164 200 13 0 0 0
OW 0 54 121 436 121 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 6 209 474 65 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 242 361 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 82 687 667 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 660 5973 4611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13236 4659 202 240 21 0 0 0
OW 0 40 85 404 136 2 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 211 460 91 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 232 339 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 83 645 554 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 699 6092 4611

Date: 2024-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12509 4878 119 96 2 0 0 0
OW 0 124 154 230 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 13 428 159 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 551 61 52 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 252 1042 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 296 7325 4591
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12509 4806 150 183 16 0 0 0
OW 0 185 124 335 132 11 0 0
VODI 0 14 11 288 451 55 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 35 307 388 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 78 743 692 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 210 6771 4591

Date: 2024-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12155 4552 214 152 6 0 0 0
OW 0 132 117 346 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 22 322 221 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 500 137 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 174 979 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 809 6812 5085
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12097 4200 205 227 12 0 0 0
OW 58 445 111 328 154 22 0 0
VODI 0 34 29 256 411 105 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 45 276 396 21 0
CDI 0 0 1 11 93 745 480 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 666 6559 5085

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9345 6912 135 85 0 0 0 0
OW 1 487 190 333 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 43 333 209 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 371 138 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 187 806 112 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 52 690 6058 6450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9304 6802 201 234 11 0 0 0
OW 42 511 110 298 159 8 0 0
VODI 0 85 46 235 378 112 0 0
ODI 0 14 7 45 186 384 14 0
CDI 0 1 4 33 113 595 349 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 18 539 5807 6450


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