Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-10-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139042 13875 284 240 78 0 0 0
OW 68 848 479 940 168 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 123 1221 908 33 0 0
ODI 0 19 1 236 1470 438 0 0
CDI 0 14 1 74 766 4236 319 0
VCDI 0 11 0 7 111 8347 13975 6301
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138675 13595 240 239 67 0 0 0
OW 78 910 408 1147 212 45 0 0
VODI 0 165 155 885 1061 196 0 0
ODI 0 50 18 281 1034 748 5 0
CDI 0 15 5 158 555 3132 1073 0
VCDI 0 14 0 21 250 6325 18140 4841
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138091 14210 254 238 23 0 0 0
OW 23 791 526 686 134 2 0 0
VODI 0 22 56 1356 486 76 0 0
ODI 0 14 0 142 1386 284 0 0
CDI 0 6 0 15 675 2345 65 0
VCDI 0 1 0 10 75 5717 21149 5885
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137410 14308 264 215 37 0 0 0
OW 85 859 510 814 180 19 0 0
VODI 0 49 106 1297 501 91 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 237 1191 280 2 0
CDI 0 17 1 45 648 1999 232 0
VCDI 0 14 0 0 188 5919 19023 8188
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137415 14364 343 279 55 1 0 0
OW 80 798 442 808 166 23 0 0
VODI 0 53 95 1239 551 82 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 235 1103 292 2 0
CDI 0 17 1 44 669 1938 192 0
VCDI 0 15 0 3 201 5972 19063 8188

Date: 2024-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136707 13902 317 367 50 0 0 0
OW 101 843 427 991 268 22 0 0
VODI 0 67 126 1098 760 168 1 0
ODI 0 17 5 322 857 556 52 0
CDI 0 28 1 50 656 1650 866 0
VCDI 0 20 0 20 212 4665 15802 12749
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136717 13954 390 448 75 0 0 0
OW 91 789 355 977 269 24 0 0
VODI 0 67 125 1003 731 181 0 0
ODI 0 14 5 346 844 532 47 0
CDI 0 31 0 51 678 1567 636 0
VCDI 0 22 1 23 206 4757 16038 12749

Date: 2024-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135229 14827 304 234 5 0 0 0
OW 25 655 591 770 76 7 0 0
VODI 0 25 29 1668 479 49 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 203 1534 250 54 0
CDI 0 22 2 31 630 2724 161 0
VCDI 0 11 0 0 172 3090 19432 11442
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135156 14300 368 472 101 27 0 0
OW 98 1086 414 825 246 62 0 0
VODI 0 78 132 1150 733 158 3 0
ODI 0 15 7 376 890 599 31 0
CDI 0 34 0 65 671 1609 836 0
VCDI 0 38 6 18 255 3665 18777 11442

Date: 2024-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135010 13780 498 335 6 0 0 0
OW 7 580 435 1173 112 0 0 0
VODI 1 40 60 1241 791 82 0 0
ODI 0 17 3 181 1361 458 10 0
CDI 0 24 8 35 534 2725 502 0
VCDI 0 13 0 11 91 3126 17602 13891
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 134913 12701 443 581 85 23 0 0
OW 103 1484 359 740 290 77 0 0
VODI 1 143 164 1201 734 221 0 0
ODI 1 38 22 322 970 638 38 0
CDI 0 39 8 111 668 1727 641 1
VCDI 0 49 8 21 148 3705 17435 13890

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 131199 16310 426 226 0 0 0 0
OW 24 958 533 1300 168 0 0 0
VODI 5 73 129 917 1054 86 0 0
ODI 2 14 22 226 1128 654 15 0
CDI 7 24 5 189 697 2527 959 0
VCDI 1 24 2 34 403 4561 15468 14373
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 131120 15744 474 638 55 0 0 0
OW 98 1194 353 695 347 17 0 0
VODI 5 280 193 963 929 201 0 0
ODI 5 69 47 287 815 712 14 0
CDI 8 37 44 235 789 1315 489 0
VCDI 2 79 6 74 515 5583 15939 14373


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