Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89387 3065 38 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 255 82 155 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 52 204 182 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 11 101 256 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 140 995 80 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1499 3485 229
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88833 3321 96 112 0 0 0 0
OW 0 157 57 238 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 7 143 256 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 131 152 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 77 495 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1512 3338 1129
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88909 3120 52 70 0 0 0 0
OW 23 222 99 99 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 28 229 113 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 181 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 218 578 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1461 3552 1310
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89044 2818 81 100 44 0 0 0
OW 3 143 106 138 57 1 0 0
VODI 0 10 13 173 93 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 101 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 217 302 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 2075 3505 1152
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89046 2843 103 123 44 0 0 0
OW 1 118 88 140 56 1 0 0
VODI 0 10 9 167 109 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 113 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 196 311 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 2059 3503 1152

Date: 2024-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88768 3126 79 110 64 0 0 0
OW 26 65 71 107 95 2 0 0
VODI 0 11 23 139 76 24 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 95 69 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 214 167 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 2543 2914 1470
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88779 3134 92 141 76 0 0 0
OW 15 56 66 94 79 3 0 0
VODI 0 12 16 137 89 26 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 85 81 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 194 181 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 94 2513 2914 1470

Date: 2024-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88659 3208 74 67 11 0 0 0
OW 11 138 101 94 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 10 203 84 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 111 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 175 412 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 1629 3819 1373
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88660 3186 86 131 55 1 0 0
OW 10 117 30 59 70 43 0 0
VODI 0 56 31 85 41 77 0 0
ODI 0 2 36 72 38 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 94 124 94 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 123 1821 3819 1373

Date: 2024-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88001 3522 108 112 29 0 0 0
OW 0 124 70 174 65 5 0 0
VODI 0 5 11 136 117 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 114 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 105 315 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 1058 4074 2060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88001 3503 111 145 87 6 0 0
OW 0 122 28 104 57 76 0 0
VODI 0 24 29 98 62 107 0 0
ODI 0 2 18 42 93 81 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 65 72 150 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 100 1073 4072 2060

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88144 3049 98 114 27 0 0 0
OW 0 150 49 166 88 12 0 0
VODI 0 6 24 161 71 66 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 110 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 184 226 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 945 4074 2496
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88144 3127 120 178 54 8 0 0
OW 0 69 36 150 106 52 0 0
VODI 0 9 10 110 107 108 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 43 87 128 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 123 184 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 837 4046 2496


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