Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14990 4298 58 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 498 208 460 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 74 648 452 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 121 965 433 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 126 3408 374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2949 2901 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15210 4038 34 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 516 191 418 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 85 554 447 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 89 687 365 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 51 2842 262 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3324 3859 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14423 4740 66 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 352 190 315 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 21 554 292 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 37 641 137 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 148 1801 450 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1113 7076 663
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14297 4835 46 55 0 0 0 0
OW 0 272 214 289 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 26 440 286 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 71 514 162 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 115 1657 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 1572 6676 1181
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14297 4842 65 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 273 187 300 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 35 425 267 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 70 467 159 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 157 1734 294 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 33 1493 6639 1181

Date: 2024-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14349 4531 122 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 202 150 480 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 24 317 422 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 47 433 171 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 174 1372 234 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 2019 6653 1245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14349 4584 141 74 0 0 0 0
OW 0 163 132 464 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 23 303 401 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 46 440 170 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 181 1512 271 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 45 1880 6616 1245

Date: 2024-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13780 4981 89 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 146 191 283 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 529 137 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 611 51 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 183 875 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 514 8856 1761
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13780 4960 120 91 1 0 0 0
OW 0 154 142 389 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 20 351 354 58 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 40 363 216 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 150 741 812 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 434 8063 1761

Date: 2024-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14108 4520 133 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 150 168 345 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 454 167 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 472 84 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 165 930 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1251 7554 2418
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14108 4406 134 160 14 2 0 0
OW 0 241 119 308 90 16 0 0
VODI 0 23 51 352 254 153 2 0
ODI 0 0 3 71 315 226 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 135 1038 542 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 835 7042 2418

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13712 4549 165 71 1 0 0 0
OW 0 98 154 427 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 10 335 347 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 325 269 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 95 981 412 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1224 7765 2035
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13712 4522 186 171 35 1 0 0
OW 0 126 134 386 132 27 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 267 388 188 21 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 209 337 85 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 62 1022 432 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 929 7664 2035


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