Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34855 7132 211 199 3 1 0 0
OW 127 421 224 789 311 3 0 0
VODI 5 35 5 416 987 160 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 41 1061 1071 0 0
CDI 0 26 0 22 327 3482 96 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 39 4573 4204 392
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34496 7151 172 310 9 0 0 0
OW 123 489 198 853 301 0 0 0
VODI 3 58 12 307 1203 156 0 0
ODI 0 30 4 30 908 1049 0 0
CDI 0 27 2 36 195 3217 166 0
VCDI 0 13 0 0 61 2164 6668 820
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36021 6109 134 98 2 0 0 0
OW 34 425 218 429 56 4 0 0
VODI 0 32 17 827 369 22 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 81 1021 287 0 0
CDI 0 15 0 26 171 3574 184 0
VCDI 0 11 0 20 40 2075 7787 1120
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36242 5870 77 65 21 0 0 0
OW 43 590 194 318 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 99 706 392 3 0 0
ODI 0 9 1 132 789 318 2 0
CDI 0 21 0 18 378 2715 92 0
VCDI 0 5 0 20 32 3220 5809 2905
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36240 5868 91 99 15 0 0 0
OW 45 608 180 274 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 95 648 329 4 0 0
ODI 0 7 5 196 815 229 2 0
CDI 0 22 0 24 418 2873 130 0
VCDI 0 4 0 18 33 3150 5771 2905

Date: 2024-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35785 6160 85 110 22 0 0 0
OW 56 458 195 555 87 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 64 525 659 9 0 0
ODI 0 37 8 113 729 405 0 0
CDI 0 10 0 41 488 2289 168 0
VCDI 0 14 0 0 29 3225 6317 2502
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35797 6108 142 167 16 0 0 0
OW 44 472 119 495 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 77 475 549 11 0 0
ODI 0 41 13 164 750 315 0 0
CDI 0 12 1 42 548 2428 172 0
VCDI 0 14 0 1 44 3174 6313 2502

Date: 2024-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35997 5925 53 39 0 0 0 0
OW 11 491 284 281 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 22 828 226 20 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 64 947 171 1 0
CDI 0 13 0 11 278 1502 35 0
VCDI 0 9 0 0 59 2895 8672 2339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35980 5345 61 64 35 0 0 0
OW 28 864 160 368 100 45 0 0
VODI 0 190 112 536 401 100 0 0
ODI 0 29 23 199 655 298 19 0
CDI 0 15 3 49 248 1504 556 0
VCDI 0 14 0 7 110 2641 8133 2339

Date: 2024-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35685 6110 66 86 11 0 0 0
OW 37 595 191 278 84 10 0 0
VODI 0 34 77 620 250 71 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 122 624 158 2 0
CDI 0 10 0 21 333 959 106 0
VCDI 0 2 1 10 101 3649 8288 2631
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35662 5361 34 6 0 0 0 0
OW 60 1117 143 336 135 90 6 0
VODI 0 238 139 562 346 103 44 0
ODI 0 16 16 178 563 227 49 0
CDI 0 20 2 21 192 1312 256 0
VCDI 0 8 1 34 167 3115 8041 2631

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35696 6016 103 79 4 0 0 0
OW 80 575 291 374 61 5 0 0
VODI 0 47 82 712 220 26 0 0
ODI 0 15 0 209 553 108 2 0
CDI 0 32 2 22 377 662 174 0
VCDI 0 14 1 13 192 2774 7651 4059
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35666 5135 102 50 0 0 0 0
OW 110 1134 226 380 80 34 0 0
VODI 0 311 125 627 267 101 2 0
ODI 0 36 19 261 469 152 41 0
CDI 0 20 2 56 315 583 516 0
VCDI 0 63 5 35 276 2705 7268 4059


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