Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-09-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140175 10756 19 23 0 0 0 0
OW 668 3733 747 476 101 0 0 0
VODI 20 373 410 3750 1123 1 0 0
ODI 1 24 5 292 11982 2666 0 0
CDI 0 38 0 15 1404 10484 706 0
VCDI 0 20 0 10 22 2284 2415 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140459 10534 24 25 0 0 0 0
OW 612 3749 631 651 5 0 0 0
VODI 33 613 422 3514 1055 3 0 0
ODI 1 30 2 258 9589 2684 0 0
CDI 0 55 0 19 1303 12165 1074 0
VCDI 0 6 2 3 60 3306 1856 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140623 12553 78 52 0 0 0 0
OW 99 2689 953 641 5 0 0 0
VODI 1 96 110 3216 520 5 0 0
ODI 0 24 3 216 6088 649 8 0
CDI 0 45 2 14 1927 13148 783 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 38 4569 5586 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140805 13220 193 210 1 0 0 0
OW 149 1421 518 1158 181 3 0 0
VODI 4 195 165 1409 1413 169 0 0
ODI 0 9 16 289 2576 2227 0 0
CDI 0 28 0 20 492 10173 1370 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 2 7001 9292 33
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140698 12619 232 257 4 0 0 0
OW 224 1869 491 1191 193 5 0 0
VODI 36 287 167 1349 1366 281 0 0
ODI 0 55 1 272 2192 1259 10 0
CDI 0 44 1 17 892 5997 1215 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 12031 9437 33

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139232 14495 307 245 3 1 0 0
OW 127 1174 514 1404 329 3 0 0
VODI 5 194 131 1268 1621 187 0 0
ODI 0 9 18 263 2282 1565 0 0
CDI 0 26 0 29 593 7885 550 0
VCDI 0 4 0 0 47 9021 10590 621
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139118 13540 358 442 98 0 0 0
OW 213 1761 388 1090 406 48 0 0
VODI 33 494 196 1166 1389 336 1 0
ODI 0 62 26 459 1731 865 47 0
CDI 0 38 2 51 1223 4940 1403 0
VCDI 0 7 0 1 28 12473 9689 621


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