Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33929 4400 9 13 0 0 0 0
OW 313 3056 354 224 4 0 0 0
VODI 39 159 287 2603 175 2 0 0
ODI 5 6 3 288 6154 281 0 0
CDI 1 29 0 20 1170 3938 244 0
VCDI 0 23 0 3 65 1020 2407 7
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34105 4255 17 19 0 0 0 0
OW 355 3073 243 189 5 0 0 0
VODI 44 241 363 2375 239 7 0 0
ODI 3 3 0 433 6284 317 0 0
CDI 0 32 0 16 906 4245 127 0
VCDI 0 20 0 1 91 1019 2204 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34921 4904 12 28 0 0 0 0
OW 240 2138 320 306 2 0 0 0
VODI 15 112 149 2512 220 4 0 0
ODI 1 7 8 307 6609 367 0 0
CDI 0 40 0 10 571 4317 99 0
VCDI 0 11 0 1 36 1203 1761 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35393 4673 14 23 2 0 0 0
OW 352 1971 275 179 91 0 0 0
VODI 17 294 216 1987 419 3 0 0
ODI 1 28 10 262 6320 651 0 0
CDI 0 42 0 13 617 4245 106 0
VCDI 0 16 0 7 32 1204 1768 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35394 4601 14 14 2 0 0 0
OW 356 1998 274 194 107 0 0 0
VODI 12 338 218 1954 559 3 0 0
ODI 1 26 9 289 6163 778 0 0
CDI 0 48 0 15 606 4078 121 0
VCDI 0 13 0 5 44 1244 1753 0

Date: 2024-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35913 4374 5 28 0 0 0 0
OW 343 1972 250 115 98 0 0 0
VODI 25 406 242 1604 525 3 0 0
ODI 1 25 3 209 5063 1124 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 13 458 4400 729 0
VCDI 0 18 0 7 38 2000 1197 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35883 4257 9 13 0 0 0 0
OW 369 2049 240 155 115 0 0 0
VODI 30 440 246 1526 561 2 0 0
ODI 0 29 4 261 5001 1513 0 0
CDI 0 44 3 14 431 4027 784 0
VCDI 0 17 0 7 74 1985 1142 0

Date: 2024-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36477 4988 14 26 0 0 0 0
OW 130 1763 455 251 1 0 0 0
VODI 8 44 15 1576 113 1 0 0
ODI 0 18 5 66 3867 67 0 0
CDI 0 48 1 4 628 6424 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1616 2507 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36224 4026 11 19 0 0 0 0
OW 359 2164 181 187 8 0 0 0
VODI 32 569 288 1407 382 16 0 0
ODI 0 41 4 302 3792 2056 104 0
CDI 0 58 6 8 361 4413 1324 0
VCDI 0 3 0 0 80 1623 1183 0

Date: 2024-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35943 5715 38 42 0 0 0 0
OW 164 1606 419 318 0 0 0 0
VODI 5 93 48 1435 204 2 0 0
ODI 0 28 5 105 2591 506 20 0
CDI 0 43 2 4 972 4670 462 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 2332 3446 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35791 4724 34 36 0 0 0 0
OW 278 2023 176 241 14 0 0 0
VODI 43 621 279 1245 420 16 0 0
ODI 0 70 21 378 2672 2042 63 0
CDI 0 45 2 4 652 4570 1570 0
VCDI 0 2 0 0 22 882 2295 0

Date: 2024-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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