Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-09-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136936 11221 16 15 0 0 0 0
OW 390 5527 687 451 4 0 0 0
VODI 39 479 622 4927 462 2 0 0
ODI 5 6 14 772 13648 534 1 0
CDI 1 29 0 37 2498 10562 362 2
VCDI 0 23 0 3 65 1150 3043 210
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136684 11449 22 33 0 0 0 0
OW 439 5689 563 464 6 0 0 0
VODI 47 692 763 4400 591 7 0 0
ODI 3 7 10 1024 13449 654 0 0
CDI 0 32 0 38 2646 10424 184 0
VCDI 0 20 0 1 91 1258 3053 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138407 12187 16 28 0 0 0 0
OW 254 4227 866 643 2 0 0 0
VODI 15 129 249 4961 544 4 0 0
ODI 1 7 8 539 14760 896 0 0
CDI 0 40 0 10 1113 10551 196 0
VCDI 0 11 0 1 36 1329 2713 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138576 12178 15 27 2 0 0 0
OW 769 3648 673 633 97 0 0 0
VODI 17 325 373 4051 1046 3 0 0
ODI 1 28 10 407 13429 1812 0 0
CDI 0 42 0 13 1340 9961 795 0
VCDI 0 16 0 7 32 1339 3046 32
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138681 12231 24 21 2 0 0 0
OW 669 3542 679 658 116 0 0 0
VODI 12 377 359 4001 1320 5 0 0
ODI 1 26 9 438 13292 2288 0 0
CDI 0 48 0 15 1172 9413 578 0
VCDI 0 13 0 5 44 1409 3263 32

Date: 2024-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139938 11052 10 29 0 0 0 0
OW 686 3682 683 534 98 0 0 0
VODI 25 485 434 3720 972 3 0 0
ODI 1 25 3 402 11560 1943 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 13 1063 11392 842 0
VCDI 0 18 0 7 38 2885 2157 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139989 11023 18 14 0 0 0 0
OW 631 3662 682 593 115 0 0 0
VODI 30 528 425 3629 1133 2 0 0
ODI 0 29 4 448 11330 2704 0 0
CDI 0 44 3 14 1079 10524 881 0
VCDI 0 17 0 7 74 2993 2118 0

Date: 2024-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140748 12357 52 30 0 0 0 0
OW 130 2786 972 556 1 0 0 0
VODI 8 60 66 3496 324 1 0 0
ODI 0 18 5 216 7461 155 0 0
CDI 0 48 1 4 1293 15705 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 4090 4037 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140276 10750 67 32 0 0 0 0
OW 578 3699 591 824 10 0 0 0
VODI 32 718 424 2990 1305 121 0 0
ODI 0 41 8 445 6439 4557 104 0
CDI 0 58 6 11 1259 11689 2236 0
VCDI 0 3 0 0 80 3584 1806 0

Date: 2024-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139875 13254 136 84 0 0 0 0
OW 164 2516 923 792 18 0 0 0
VODI 5 114 129 3025 685 5 0 0
ODI 0 29 6 258 5142 852 21 0
CDI 0 43 2 5 1922 11437 1416 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 176 5048 6661 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139589 11573 160 127 4 0 0 0
OW 412 3491 564 955 85 0 0 0
VODI 43 775 444 2585 1537 44 1 0
ODI 0 70 26 492 5299 3631 77 0
CDI 0 45 2 5 996 11469 3284 0
VCDI 0 2 0 0 22 2198 4736 0

Date: 2024-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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