Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89340 3243 26 49 0 0 0 0
OW 19 498 131 240 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 30 706 162 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 95 1545 177 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 349 3007 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 69 637 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90245 2480 29 3 0 0 0 0
OW 31 485 215 159 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 64 670 157 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 1067 386 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 275 2793 519 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 242 542 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90313 2626 28 6 0 0 0 0
OW 37 459 139 101 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 81 629 65 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 91 1084 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 494 3169 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 668 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90006 2702 10 5 0 0 0 0
OW 51 534 117 109 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 58 572 141 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 55 1126 196 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 345 3404 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 80 755 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90001 2787 16 6 0 0 0 0
OW 56 461 113 120 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 56 549 162 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 66 1087 168 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 363 3452 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 60 761 0

Date: 2024-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89626 3000 14 5 1 0 0 0
OW 80 571 143 122 0 0 0 0
VODI 3 133 66 598 101 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 1114 96 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 342 2895 401 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 302 733 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89627 3111 19 3 1 0 0 0
OW 78 477 135 131 0 0 0 0
VODI 4 116 69 573 141 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 88 973 67 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 443 2911 400 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 315 734 0

Date: 2024-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90294 2458 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 14 559 183 114 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 10 651 51 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 1402 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 280 3183 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 275 809 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90246 2330 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 62 563 125 169 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 61 538 187 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 887 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 659 3073 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 377 835 0

Date: 2024-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90370 2327 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 29 558 132 136 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 51 547 120 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 1051 233 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 240 2963 428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 48 1130 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90311 2146 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 87 619 105 163 1 0 0 0
VODI 1 132 72 480 201 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 77 724 171 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 485 3025 544 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 48 1014 0

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90280 2336 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 37 473 166 181 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 38 541 106 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 806 142 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 369 2860 402 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 350 1264 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90230 2137 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 87 596 118 215 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 80 445 158 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 101 679 236 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 444 2725 520 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 390 1146 0


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