Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33317 3291 8 3 0 0 0 0
OW 295 2541 214 113 0 0 0 0
VODI 56 650 523 3305 141 0 0 0
ODI 24 66 1 401 6446 786 0 0
CDI 11 12 1 20 1033 4005 93 0
VCDI 0 44 0 16 72 1773 1970 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33366 3231 14 5 0 0 0 0
OW 387 2527 151 153 4 0 0 0
VODI 59 1031 662 2802 137 21 0 0
ODI 32 54 8 629 6611 1034 0 0
CDI 4 33 3 11 996 3054 294 0
VCDI 0 19 0 8 64 1230 2597 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33661 4177 8 8 0 0 0 0
OW 221 3135 487 232 0 0 0 0
VODI 38 118 216 2769 177 4 0 0
ODI 13 8 1 194 5815 396 2 0
CDI 2 35 0 4 806 5041 159 0
VCDI 0 17 0 1 32 899 2555 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33790 4394 8 10 0 0 0 0
OW 275 3146 382 213 1 0 0 0
VODI 41 165 238 2668 178 1 0 0
ODI 9 15 3 259 5734 514 0 0
CDI 1 16 0 12 872 4151 571 0
VCDI 0 37 0 7 69 1053 2396 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33785 4499 11 8 0 0 0 0
OW 274 2998 374 207 0 0 0 0
VODI 51 213 243 2544 219 1 0 0
ODI 5 11 3 389 5540 647 0 0
CDI 1 16 0 13 1028 4020 633 0
VCDI 0 36 0 8 67 1051 2334 2

Date: 2024-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34249 4194 10 19 0 0 0 0
OW 298 3053 270 196 5 0 0 0
VODI 48 251 360 2434 186 2 0 0
ODI 7 2 1 400 6266 237 0 0
CDI 0 32 0 21 1100 3929 154 0
VCDI 0 20 0 6 86 1270 2125 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34230 4301 23 16 0 0 0 0
OW 327 2854 260 194 2 0 0 0
VODI 39 344 357 2305 224 2 0 0
ODI 6 1 1 535 6057 253 0 0
CDI 0 37 0 20 1264 3829 191 0
VCDI 0 15 0 6 96 1354 2088 0

Date: 2024-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34217 5629 17 20 0 0 0 0
OW 190 2080 551 196 2 0 0 0
VODI 6 37 30 2683 165 4 0 0
ODI 1 6 0 191 6730 286 0 0
CDI 0 34 0 9 423 4557 113 0
VCDI 0 13 0 1 42 562 2436 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34098 4297 19 14 0 0 0 0
OW 294 3031 184 124 2 1 0 0
VODI 21 415 388 2219 263 4 0 0
ODI 1 5 7 726 5915 452 0 0
CDI 0 33 0 17 1071 4057 214 0
VCDI 0 18 0 0 111 895 2335 0

Date: 2024-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35273 4619 11 29 0 0 0 0
OW 320 2095 349 182 31 0 0 0
VODI 18 200 189 2278 347 1 0 0
ODI 1 7 5 348 6502 427 0 0
CDI 0 44 1 14 582 4140 192 0
VCDI 0 11 0 5 29 1255 1726 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34993 3424 11 31 1 0 0 0
OW 579 2767 82 78 33 3 0 0
VODI 39 714 452 1903 298 5 0 0
ODI 1 15 8 813 5801 556 3 0
CDI 0 26 2 26 1221 3832 306 0
VCDI 0 30 0 5 137 1427 1609 0

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35654 4558 17 23 0 0 0 0
OW 308 1995 277 133 101 0 0 0
VODI 20 307 211 1634 639 1 0 0
ODI 1 24 5 160 5138 1580 0 0
CDI 0 38 0 15 479 4472 304 0
VCDI 0 20 0 10 22 1934 1151 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35202 3452 15 8 19 0 0 0
OW 746 2506 110 53 86 0 0 0
VODI 34 894 378 1534 440 3 0 0
ODI 1 29 6 322 4613 1114 0 0
CDI 0 27 1 45 1101 4859 378 0
VCDI 0 34 0 13 120 2011 1077 0


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