Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-08-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 134165 10589 38 52 0 0 0 0
OW 314 5080 681 500 4 0 0 0
VODI 56 769 894 6518 565 1 0 0
ODI 24 67 1 660 14369 2094 0 0
CDI 11 12 1 21 2058 10470 148 0
VCDI 0 44 0 16 72 1842 2607 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135351 9589 43 8 0 0 0 0
OW 418 5249 596 429 4 0 0 0
VODI 59 1286 1162 5641 538 21 0 0
ODI 32 54 8 965 14487 2288 0 0
CDI 4 33 3 15 1671 9274 813 0
VCDI 0 19 0 8 64 1472 3139 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135690 11792 38 15 0 0 0 0
OW 258 5436 1055 521 1 0 0 0
VODI 38 234 422 5452 445 5 0 0
ODI 13 9 1 520 13166 813 2 0
CDI 2 35 0 4 2250 11767 367 0
VCDI 0 17 0 1 32 1119 3223 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136802 11165 18 15 0 0 0 0
OW 363 5617 759 405 1 0 0 0
VODI 41 478 567 4962 517 1 0 0
ODI 9 16 18 707 13186 815 1 0
CDI 1 16 0 35 2740 10495 585 0
VCDI 0 37 0 7 69 1142 3151 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136828 11417 27 14 0 0 0 0
OW 331 5314 749 435 0 0 0 0
VODI 51 534 570 4770 733 1 0 0
ODI 5 12 16 861 12715 948 1 0
CDI 1 16 0 43 2998 10361 641 0
VCDI 0 36 0 8 67 1143 3095 2

Date: 2024-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137117 11154 24 24 1 0 0 0
OW 381 5593 609 433 5 0 0 0
VODI 51 634 699 4678 440 2 0 0
ODI 7 5 26 1012 13611 470 0 0
CDI 0 32 0 44 2228 10366 555 0
VCDI 0 20 0 6 86 1572 2858 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137099 11474 42 19 1 0 0 0
OW 408 5197 613 478 2 0 0 0
VODI 43 712 681 4464 782 2 0 0
ODI 6 3 22 1193 12882 563 0 0
CDI 0 37 0 37 2608 10176 591 0
VCDI 0 15 0 6 96 1669 2822 0

Date: 2024-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137962 12743 20 20 0 0 0 0
OW 204 4111 1186 500 2 0 0 0
VODI 6 45 90 5228 374 5 0 0
ODI 1 6 0 362 15375 457 0 0
CDI 0 34 0 9 1102 10611 152 0
VCDI 0 13 0 1 42 837 3245 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137703 10646 30 14 0 0 0 0
OW 448 5317 537 566 2 1 0 0
VODI 21 932 701 4127 986 5 0 0
ODI 1 6 28 1385 12590 700 0 0
CDI 0 33 0 28 3206 9932 227 0
VCDI 0 18 0 0 111 1272 3170 0

Date: 2024-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139556 11018 14 29 0 0 0 0
OW 789 3867 742 524 31 0 0 0
VODI 18 228 368 4465 891 2 0 0
ODI 1 7 5 523 14180 1230 0 0
CDI 0 44 1 14 1130 10242 620 0
VCDI 0 11 0 5 29 1303 2856 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138902 9291 24 33 1 0 0 0
OW 1286 4672 382 583 34 3 0 0
VODI 175 1140 698 3544 1253 6 0 0
ODI 1 16 24 1369 12176 1121 3 0
CDI 0 26 2 26 2660 10172 850 0
VCDI 0 30 0 5 137 1475 2623 0

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140175 10756 19 23 0 0 0 0
OW 668 3733 747 476 101 0 0 0
VODI 20 373 410 3750 1123 1 0 0
ODI 1 24 5 292 11982 2666 0 0
CDI 0 38 0 15 1404 10484 706 0
VCDI 0 20 0 10 22 2284 2415 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139270 9189 31 10 19 0 0 0
OW 1470 4458 514 547 87 0 0 0
VODI 123 1207 627 3298 1285 4 0 0
ODI 1 29 8 648 10569 1914 0 0
CDI 0 27 1 50 2552 11116 898 0
VCDI 0 34 0 13 120 2401 2223 0


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