Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31690 3167 22 0 0 0 0 0
OW 117 2668 159 70 0 0 0 0
VODI 26 654 479 3697 166 3 0 0
ODI 1 88 12 877 5000 451 0 0
CDI 0 118 10 141 1587 6500 1795 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 181 436 1039 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31963 2981 12 3 0 0 0 0
OW 173 2617 122 119 0 0 0 0
VODI 57 915 463 3751 194 0 0 0
ODI 27 94 14 890 4706 842 0 0
CDI 36 93 11 111 1406 5982 1903 0
VCDI 1 0 0 43 235 493 974 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32454 3712 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 163 2596 488 222 0 0 0 0
VODI 34 201 196 4237 136 0 0 0
ODI 11 46 2 214 6015 371 0 0
CDI 7 16 6 63 1105 4378 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 112 1307 2670 396
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33179 3279 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 298 2575 225 102 0 0 0 0
VODI 56 563 511 3483 120 0 0 0
ODI 29 57 8 316 6348 527 0 0
CDI 8 29 2 16 969 4465 59 0
VCDI 0 37 0 13 75 1980 1899 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33163 3426 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 304 2357 200 121 0 0 0 0
VODI 65 629 536 3468 213 0 0 0
ODI 29 61 8 311 6068 638 0 0
CDI 9 33 2 18 1159 4306 99 0
VCDI 0 34 0 12 72 2028 1859 0

Date: 2024-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33396 3253 4 8 0 0 0 0
OW 334 2469 184 176 7 0 0 0
VODI 58 803 592 3054 166 1 0 0
ODI 22 66 6 439 6703 889 0 0
CDI 10 16 2 13 991 3502 175 0
VCDI 0 36 0 11 59 1393 2393 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33333 3276 5 8 0 0 0 0
OW 390 2365 166 178 9 0 0 0
VODI 61 881 610 3086 292 13 0 0
ODI 22 68 5 405 6492 921 0 0
CDI 14 24 2 15 1078 3469 209 0
VCDI 0 29 0 9 55 1382 2359 0

Date: 2024-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33613 4056 14 2 0 0 0 0
OW 237 2933 663 309 0 0 0 0
VODI 34 75 37 3023 146 0 0 0
ODI 13 7 5 133 6226 200 0 0
CDI 2 44 2 4 607 5206 81 0
VCDI 0 7 0 0 29 792 2731 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33349 3093 13 2 0 0 0 0
OW 455 2633 117 133 0 0 0 0
VODI 55 1291 578 2668 338 16 0 0
ODI 31 53 6 657 5665 1775 6 0
CDI 9 44 7 11 966 3355 231 0
VCDI 0 8 0 0 39 1052 2575 0

Date: 2024-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33819 4200 13 6 0 0 0 0
OW 238 3172 414 230 0 0 0 0
VODI 38 156 284 2655 166 2 0 0
ODI 13 11 1 289 5740 330 0 0
CDI 2 29 0 10 844 4899 155 0
VCDI 0 24 0 6 50 678 2757 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33485 3109 13 6 0 0 0 0
OW 534 2811 116 132 0 0 0 0
VODI 62 1579 572 2200 307 9 0 0
ODI 23 39 10 827 5522 1635 0 0
CDI 6 34 1 24 925 3169 610 0
VCDI 0 20 0 7 46 1096 2302 0

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33929 4400 9 13 0 0 0 0
OW 313 3056 354 224 4 0 0 0
VODI 39 159 287 2603 175 2 0 0
ODI 5 6 3 288 6154 281 0 0
CDI 1 29 0 20 1170 3938 244 0
VCDI 0 23 0 3 65 1020 2407 7
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33542 3177 9 17 0 0 0 0
OW 584 3075 191 196 4 0 0 0
VODI 136 1329 445 2096 430 22 0 0
ODI 23 39 8 808 6140 881 37 0
CDI 2 10 0 31 897 2852 333 1
VCDI 0 43 0 3 97 1486 2281 6


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