Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-08-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130713 10317 59 51 0 0 0 0
OW 117 5318 486 299 5 0 0 0
VODI 26 1128 1009 7514 514 6 0 0
ODI 1 94 23 1528 12632 1242 1 0
CDI 0 118 10 162 3599 13130 2700 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 181 456 1227 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 131794 9576 55 30 0 0 0 0
OW 173 5344 404 341 4 0 0 0
VODI 57 1547 1003 7215 590 1 0 0
ODI 27 108 38 1552 12119 1922 0 0
CDI 36 93 11 131 3662 12378 2581 0
VCDI 1 0 0 43 235 515 1157 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133418 10685 61 45 0 0 0 0
OW 163 4869 1220 572 0 0 0 0
VODI 34 225 420 7726 511 0 0 1
ODI 11 46 2 408 15357 681 0 0
CDI 7 16 6 63 1969 10476 530 3
VCDI 0 0 0 23 112 1338 3212 533
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133400 11118 59 33 0 0 0 0
OW 317 5060 802 443 2 0 0 0
VODI 56 641 808 6837 549 1 0 0
ODI 29 58 8 566 14696 1479 0 0
CDI 8 29 2 16 1843 11022 357 0
VCDI 0 37 0 13 75 2191 2188 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133388 11484 67 40 0 0 0 0
OW 319 4587 724 540 3 0 0 0
VODI 65 743 878 6727 687 1 0 0
ODI 29 62 8 571 14229 1538 0 0
CDI 9 33 2 18 2174 10851 357 0
VCDI 0 34 0 12 72 2303 2188 0

Date: 2024-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135049 9826 41 36 0 0 0 0
OW 358 5099 623 508 13 0 0 0
VODI 58 1029 1065 6039 569 2 0 0
ODI 22 67 6 760 14319 2396 2 0
CDI 10 16 2 16 1734 9688 691 0
VCDI 0 36 0 11 59 1516 3077 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 134988 10088 51 45 0 0 0 0
OW 412 4691 614 569 11 0 0 0
VODI 61 1172 1065 5991 756 14 0 0
ODI 22 69 5 741 13851 2585 14 0
CDI 14 24 2 15 2021 9506 695 0
VCDI 0 29 0 9 55 1497 3061 0

Date: 2024-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135242 11942 32 34 0 0 0 0
OW 266 4908 1401 759 4 0 0 0
VODI 34 87 67 6002 397 1 0 0
ODI 13 7 5 309 14177 374 0 0
CDI 2 44 2 4 1034 12925 170 0
VCDI 0 7 0 0 29 1019 3446 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 134968 10105 41 57 0 0 0 0
OW 494 5158 451 599 9 0 0 0
VODI 55 1626 1002 5378 820 16 0 0
ODI 31 54 6 1063 13040 3044 25 0
CDI 9 44 7 11 1733 10039 823 0
VCDI 0 8 0 0 39 1220 2768 0

Date: 2024-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136438 11312 37 16 0 0 0 0
OW 282 5618 834 452 2 0 0 0
VODI 38 365 616 5148 401 3 0 0
ODI 13 12 1 746 13263 490 0 0
CDI 2 29 0 16 3724 10385 194 0
VCDI 0 24 0 6 55 830 3391 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136080 9208 58 24 0 0 0 0
OW 602 5781 373 427 4 0 0 0
VODI 62 2270 1017 4406 855 10 0 0
ODI 23 47 39 1477 12752 2600 2 0
CDI 6 34 1 43 3787 7873 1189 0
VCDI 0 20 0 7 47 1225 2394 0

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136936 11221 16 15 0 0 0 0
OW 390 5527 687 451 4 0 0 0
VODI 39 479 622 4927 462 2 0 0
ODI 5 6 14 772 13648 534 1 0
CDI 1 29 0 37 2498 10562 362 2
VCDI 0 23 0 3 65 1150 3043 210
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136475 8969 26 26 0 0 0 0
OW 734 6076 427 472 4 0 0 0
VODI 137 2128 844 4175 1001 22 0 0
ODI 23 59 42 1478 12834 2108 48 0
CDI 2 10 0 51 2741 8498 982 61
VCDI 0 43 0 3 97 1620 2376 151


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