Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88132 2533 18 1 0 0 0 0
OW 165 700 236 306 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 35 99 885 220 11 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 1375 714 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 118 2890 1432 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 58 311
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88469 2466 9 7 0 0 0 0
OW 30 918 162 274 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 110 740 169 1 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 239 1294 411 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 300 3874 445 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 35 343 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88335 3064 20 22 0 0 0 0
OW 5 915 214 154 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 89 966 108 2 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 133 1740 137 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 227 3702 344 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 64 143 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88924 2590 9 41 0 0 0 0
OW 3 902 108 215 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 92 963 99 2 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 212 1561 322 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 546 3249 317 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 126 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88922 2700 14 60 0 0 0 0
OW 5 809 97 199 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 98 941 132 1 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 231 1406 257 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 666 3297 253 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 42 190 0

Date: 2024-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88250 3418 40 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 766 62 286 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 80 856 156 3 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 114 1712 337 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 305 2448 1202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 22 158 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88250 3525 47 59 0 0 0 0
OW 0 678 48 297 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 87 838 198 1 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 128 1536 243 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 440 2512 1123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 237 0

Date: 2024-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89660 2698 67 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 594 246 108 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 18 858 90 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 1944 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 188 3087 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 130 447 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89660 2345 41 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 715 130 110 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 233 160 717 115 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 191 1434 133 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 673 3107 516 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 45 87 0

Date: 2024-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89951 2573 47 34 0 0 0 0
OW 11 522 208 184 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 34 806 93 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 48 1878 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 275 2723 341 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 100 510 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89930 2216 37 8 0 0 0 0
OW 32 641 76 178 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 246 172 664 115 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 222 1303 204 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 827 2678 712 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 9 138 0

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89340 3243 26 49 0 0 0 0
OW 19 498 131 240 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 30 706 162 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 95 1545 177 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 349 3007 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 69 637 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89320 3002 13 19 0 0 0 0
OW 39 553 59 213 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 202 107 644 240 1 0 0
ODI 0 17 8 195 1088 399 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 714 2846 501 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 191 0


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