Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29251 3835 14 9 4 0 0 0
OW 411 1850 134 165 41 0 0 0
VODI 29 547 307 2421 181 12 0 0
ODI 1 75 20 571 6463 1267 60 0
CDI 0 100 29 380 1281 5967 2729 317
VCDI 0 160 25 140 239 442 989 765
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29862 3469 2 18 0 0 0 0
OW 233 1970 135 131 21 0 0 0
VODI 31 760 425 2320 151 12 0 0
ODI 0 98 21 1131 5530 693 14 0
CDI 1 160 42 365 2344 6024 2721 41
VCDI 0 182 15 74 247 581 1391 16
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30453 4008 20 1 0 0 0 0
OW 160 2210 501 195 0 0 0 0
VODI 36 298 197 3169 391 13 0 0
ODI 13 64 13 623 6087 580 1 0
CDI 34 51 9 201 1582 5774 941 0
VCDI 0 2 0 39 89 1760 1716 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30886 3847 22 3 0 0 0 0
OW 60 2677 214 90 0 0 0 0
VODI 39 518 396 3624 241 6 0 0
ODI 0 79 9 732 5200 442 3 0
CDI 0 113 7 137 1699 6672 1457 0
VCDI 0 3 1 73 117 1170 694 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30880 3879 23 6 0 0 0 0
OW 66 2661 242 95 0 0 0 0
VODI 37 490 363 3327 311 4 0 0
ODI 2 86 10 1032 5102 673 2 0
CDI 0 117 9 128 1724 6394 1350 0
VCDI 0 4 2 71 120 1219 802 0

Date: 2024-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31721 3185 13 6 0 0 0 0
OW 162 2627 131 118 0 0 0 0
VODI 57 704 420 3854 187 1 0 0
ODI 16 103 5 744 4821 641 0 0
CDI 37 83 22 114 1707 6123 2089 3
VCDI 0 0 0 55 183 857 442 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31700 3244 12 6 0 0 0 0
OW 170 2636 161 146 0 0 0 0
VODI 64 634 391 3478 255 4 0 0
ODI 19 106 7 1095 4652 803 0 0
CDI 38 82 20 114 1794 5890 1938 3
VCDI 2 0 0 52 197 925 593 0

Date: 2024-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32058 4139 11 10 0 0 0 0
OW 95 2516 564 284 3 0 0 0
VODI 33 144 36 4444 158 0 0 0
ODI 11 37 1 150 5587 413 0 0
CDI 9 34 1 38 632 5187 76 0
VCDI 0 1 5 37 101 375 3827 214
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31903 3201 5 11 2 0 0 0
OW 201 2521 160 247 13 3 0 0
VODI 50 937 434 3258 227 44 0 0
ODI 22 101 8 1318 4705 943 4 0
CDI 30 110 6 85 1344 4753 2497 18
VCDI 0 1 5 44 190 232 1402 196

Date: 2024-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32742 3476 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 202 2703 330 126 0 0 0 0
VODI 29 385 285 4007 124 0 0 0
ODI 10 51 1 264 6208 440 0 0
CDI 4 29 3 59 1179 4145 138 0
VCDI 0 3 0 15 89 1676 2506 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32545 2465 2 2 0 0 0 0
OW 319 2721 106 151 2 0 0 0
VODI 62 1255 487 2976 261 4 0 0
ODI 28 118 21 1202 5730 745 0 0
CDI 33 88 4 112 1459 4941 1838 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 148 571 806 0

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33317 3291 8 3 0 0 0 0
OW 295 2541 214 113 0 0 0 0
VODI 56 650 523 3305 141 0 0 0
ODI 24 66 1 401 6446 786 0 0
CDI 11 12 1 20 1033 4005 93 0
VCDI 0 44 0 16 72 1773 1970 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33014 2098 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 483 2699 142 162 18 0 0 0
VODI 98 1538 539 2533 329 18 0 0
ODI 73 173 64 994 5911 826 0 0
CDI 35 55 1 150 1311 5364 1247 0
VCDI 0 41 0 17 123 356 816 0


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