Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-08-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127445 10397 37 12 4 0 0 0
OW 703 3886 625 630 53 1 0 0
VODI 29 649 628 5953 977 23 1 0
ODI 1 75 20 923 14224 3000 61 0
CDI 0 100 29 381 1920 14066 4406 355
VCDI 0 160 25 140 239 442 1047 1076
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 128184 10178 16 31 0 0 0 0
OW 323 4444 508 518 35 0 0 0
VODI 31 1151 834 5760 917 13 1 0
ODI 0 98 21 1829 12806 2647 14 0
CDI 1 160 42 365 3068 14535 3288 41
VCDI 0 182 15 74 247 616 1734 16
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 128893 11611 44 35 0 0 0 0
OW 165 4636 1065 484 2 0 0 0
VODI 36 384 497 7121 899 16 1 0
ODI 13 64 13 954 14209 801 1 0
CDI 34 51 9 201 2988 14310 1381 0
VCDI 0 2 0 39 89 1836 1859 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130534 10334 31 51 0 0 0 0
OW 63 5248 552 380 5 0 0 0
VODI 39 845 830 7658 587 8 1 0
ODI 0 80 15 1306 12772 1172 3 0
CDI 0 113 7 151 3628 14284 1838 0
VCDI 0 3 1 73 117 1194 820 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130524 10543 37 80 0 0 0 0
OW 73 5028 554 375 9 0 0 0
VODI 37 845 819 7344 806 5 1 0
ODI 2 86 15 1611 12174 1382 2 0
CDI 0 117 9 138 4000 14010 1667 0
VCDI 0 4 2 71 120 1261 992 0

Date: 2024-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130766 10376 53 79 0 0 0 0
OW 162 5218 369 519 12 0 0 0
VODI 57 1216 847 7551 659 4 1 0
ODI 16 108 27 1288 12533 1482 0 0
CDI 37 83 22 139 3794 12214 3391 3
VCDI 0 0 0 55 183 879 600 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130745 10582 60 73 1 0 0 0
OW 170 5064 381 556 10 0 0 0
VODI 64 1164 835 7217 846 5 1 0
ODI 19 109 22 1601 11933 1642 0 0
CDI 38 82 20 132 4194 11953 3161 3
VCDI 2 0 0 52 197 979 830 0

Date: 2024-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132715 11266 78 33 0 0 0 0
OW 95 4711 1405 606 3 0 0 0
VODI 33 146 85 8233 512 1 0 0
ODI 11 37 1 275 14959 692 0 0
CDI 9 34 1 38 1162 12219 246 0
VCDI 0 1 5 37 101 505 4274 214
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132560 9172 47 14 2 0 0 0
OW 201 5143 497 493 13 3 0 0
VODI 50 1653 988 6599 772 45 0 0
ODI 22 116 32 1973 11920 1779 4 0
CDI 30 110 6 99 3840 11313 3027 18
VCDI 0 1 5 44 190 277 1489 196

Date: 2024-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133932 10270 52 35 0 0 0 0
OW 213 5097 951 477 0 0 0 0
VODI 29 436 534 7543 458 1 0 0
ODI 10 52 1 487 15333 849 0 0
CDI 4 29 3 59 2111 10342 536 0
VCDI 0 3 0 15 89 1776 3016 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133714 7921 45 10 0 0 0 0
OW 351 5496 351 474 4 0 0 0
VODI 62 2230 1086 6036 717 5 0 0
ODI 28 152 55 1927 13114 1569 1 0
CDI 33 88 4 140 4007 10814 2607 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 149 580 944 0

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 134165 10589 38 52 0 0 0 0
OW 314 5080 681 500 4 0 0 0
VODI 56 769 894 6518 565 1 0 0
ODI 24 67 1 660 14369 2094 0 0
CDI 11 12 1 21 2058 10470 148 0
VCDI 0 44 0 16 72 1842 2607 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133842 8023 20 21 0 0 0 0
OW 522 5525 364 592 37 0 0 0
VODI 98 2635 1113 5251 960 24 0 0
ODI 73 282 116 1650 12270 2448 0 0
CDI 35 55 2 236 3678 11571 1748 0
VCDI 0 41 0 17 123 364 1007 0


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