Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84026 5403 25 14 3 0 0 0
OW 39 1196 350 300 24 2 0 0
VODI 0 79 129 1225 170 25 4 0
ODI 0 0 2 205 1483 381 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 439 4690 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 22 62 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85289 4284 10 2 3 0 0 0
OW 508 893 301 197 34 11 0 0
VODI 0 147 178 1090 129 22 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 366 1644 155 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 853 4241 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 38 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86652 3654 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 322 629 303 244 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 52 1265 152 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 1744 297 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 433 4326 199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 57 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87734 2803 17 3 0 0 0 0
OW 218 593 215 369 13 3 0 0
VODI 0 26 68 1026 229 11 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 1585 446 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 129 3643 872 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 242 57
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87814 2848 38 9 1 0 0 0
OW 138 524 191 425 11 4 0 0
VODI 0 50 71 909 242 12 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 154 1548 770 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 154 3313 851 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 265 52

Date: 2024-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88537 2267 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 106 906 164 261 8 0 1 0
VODI 0 59 108 692 271 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 139 1338 664 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 141 2943 1368 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 66 332
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88584 2313 9 19 0 0 0 0
OW 59 838 163 284 11 0 1 0
VODI 0 81 103 626 264 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 165 1289 894 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 194 2695 1331 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 23 49 344

Date: 2024-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88737 2632 35 10 0 0 0 0
OW 5 785 288 188 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 1010 125 1 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 1878 110 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 233 3730 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 25 454 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88728 2277 23 14 0 0 0 0
OW 14 912 178 260 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 213 108 640 129 0 1 0
ODI 0 15 25 343 1391 521 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 716 3329 351 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 16 211 0

Date: 2024-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88951 2471 17 22 0 0 0 0
OW 2 994 157 122 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 141 956 75 2 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 216 1526 373 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 262 3145 768 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 108 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88934 2044 12 42 0 0 0 0
OW 19 1092 160 169 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 321 91 628 100 0 1 0
ODI 0 106 52 477 1174 667 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 590 2858 785 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 85 0

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88267 3320 37 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 897 132 156 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 140 859 84 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 198 1666 274 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 573 2684 715 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 20 188 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88267 2732 36 64 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1133 126 179 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 389 97 538 120 1 0 0
ODI 0 119 52 476 1327 459 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 874 2347 694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 174 193 0


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