Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22804 7147 32 20 0 0 0 0
OW 61 2483 398 393 9 0 0 0
VODI 12 533 274 2547 468 1 0 0
ODI 2 100 10 406 4473 493 0 0
CDI 0 108 23 175 2990 10865 1059 0
VCDI 0 96 45 230 519 1290 1165 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25471 4585 13 0 0 0 0 0
OW 854 2182 213 254 11 0 0 0
VODI 39 875 402 2137 377 0 0 0
ODI 2 98 17 719 5204 168 0 0
CDI 0 133 42 232 3652 9793 397 0
VCDI 0 75 46 246 525 1649 820 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26813 4941 10 4 1 0 0 0
OW 413 2465 322 225 15 0 0 0
VODI 19 200 157 2761 226 0 0 0
ODI 4 77 10 348 7796 864 0 0
CDI 0 124 48 322 1022 8549 1062 0
VCDI 0 1 1 69 434 1840 88 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27937 4763 10 7 4 0 0 0
OW 191 2277 175 157 41 0 0 0
VODI 16 487 285 2488 168 9 0 0
ODI 0 78 17 580 6481 1613 32 0
CDI 0 85 24 298 958 6364 2499 283
VCDI 0 132 41 196 328 616 1004 587
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27848 4776 10 20 2 0 0 0
OW 282 2212 172 178 28 0 0 0
VODI 14 526 286 2386 247 7 0 0
ODI 0 82 18 649 6191 1502 22 0
CDI 0 101 32 298 1183 6501 2590 277
VCDI 0 125 34 195 329 592 923 593

Date: 2024-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29704 3527 5 4 4 0 0 0
OW 325 1903 148 164 30 0 0 0
VODI 29 622 404 2338 168 10 0 0
ODI 0 81 32 959 5753 883 81 0
CDI 0 144 39 444 1639 6291 2096 605
VCDI 0 178 12 82 203 479 1302 543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29651 3429 9 7 0 0 0 0
OW 385 1943 148 164 10 0 0 0
VODI 22 666 401 2292 277 3 0 0
ODI 0 86 31 996 5433 1110 60 0
CDI 0 161 41 439 1885 6124 2311 594
VCDI 0 170 10 93 192 426 1108 554

Date: 2024-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30243 4098 11 25 0 0 0 0
OW 141 2140 563 250 7 0 0 0
VODI 16 192 68 3246 319 6 0 0
ODI 0 63 9 368 7161 318 1 0
CDI 0 78 10 153 977 6741 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 109 243 3450 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30139 3322 1 18 0 0 0 0
OW 238 1991 158 99 8 0 0 0
VODI 20 772 414 2277 289 3 0 0
ODI 3 123 33 1253 5344 806 0 0
CDI 0 174 52 340 2627 6278 2666 0
VCDI 0 189 3 70 305 221 995 0

Date: 2024-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30746 3870 20 2 0 0 0 0
OW 98 2539 305 119 0 0 0 0
VODI 47 416 320 3425 261 1 3 0
ODI 10 73 12 659 5075 900 7 0
CDI 20 90 14 177 1459 6196 1819 0
VCDI 0 3 0 45 121 1191 1188 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30633 3074 11 3 0 0 0 0
OW 170 1985 119 136 0 0 0 0
VODI 65 1295 424 1848 206 6 1 0
ODI 16 170 37 2148 4255 1282 25 0
CDI 22 308 77 218 2245 6790 2578 0
VCDI 15 159 3 74 210 210 413 0

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31690 3167 22 0 0 0 0 0
OW 117 2668 159 70 0 0 0 0
VODI 26 654 479 3697 166 3 0 0
ODI 1 88 12 877 5000 451 0 0
CDI 0 118 10 141 1587 6500 1795 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 181 436 1039 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31437 2326 16 1 0 0 0 0
OW 353 1900 163 117 0 0 0 0
VODI 41 1722 350 1677 161 47 0 0
ODI 3 237 94 2746 3887 1369 1 0
CDI 0 305 59 250 2646 5719 2381 0
VCDI 0 205 0 71 240 255 452 0


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