Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-08-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115815 16425 59 48 3 0 0 0
OW 384 5159 977 798 33 2 0 0
VODI 62 808 712 6066 1277 26 4 0
ODI 2 100 12 921 11129 1253 14 0
CDI 0 108 23 175 5223 22479 1163 0
VCDI 0 96 45 230 519 1366 1227 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120110 12459 26 7 3 0 0 0
OW 1641 4543 720 565 45 11 0 0
VODI 81 1295 852 5511 1416 22 14 0
ODI 2 98 17 1465 11838 704 7 0
CDI 0 133 42 232 6807 20281 397 0
VCDI 0 75 46 246 525 1687 820 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122972 12861 27 16 1 0 0 0
OW 895 4362 1005 606 28 0 0 0
VODI 21 209 294 6772 800 6 0 0
ODI 4 77 10 625 15980 2201 0 0
CDI 0 124 48 322 1985 18705 1297 0
VCDI 0 1 1 69 434 1897 88 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 125330 11907 35 16 4 0 0 0
OW 557 4116 714 696 56 3 0 0
VODI 16 545 524 6259 864 20 2 0
ODI 0 78 17 992 14287 3167 42 0
CDI 0 85 24 298 1455 15050 4095 286
VCDI 0 132 41 196 328 616 1246 644
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 125324 11991 56 32 3 0 0 0
OW 565 3956 685 782 41 4 0 0
VODI 14 608 530 6071 991 19 1 0
ODI 0 82 18 1079 13591 3830 31 0
CDI 0 101 32 298 2039 14407 4165 285
VCDI 0 125 34 195 329 596 1188 645

Date: 2024-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 128361 9808 18 6 4 0 0 0
OW 516 4249 538 563 41 0 1 0
VODI 29 844 778 5671 996 16 0 0
ODI 0 81 32 1342 13615 2769 87 0
CDI 0 144 39 444 2204 13969 3748 628
VCDI 0 178 12 82 203 484 1368 875
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 128344 9695 25 26 0 0 0 0
OW 540 4275 509 588 22 0 1 0
VODI 22 917 801 5557 1275 9 0 0
ODI 0 86 31 1401 12634 3892 120 0
CDI 0 161 41 443 2940 12888 3926 605
VCDI 0 170 10 93 192 449 1157 898

Date: 2024-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 128963 11469 51 40 0 0 0 0
OW 146 4244 1365 618 8 0 0 0
VODI 16 200 120 7257 740 7 1 0
ODI 0 63 9 515 15732 613 1 0
CDI 0 78 10 153 1656 15993 331 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 109 268 3952 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 128822 9623 28 34 0 0 0 0
OW 280 4589 511 487 13 0 0 0
VODI 20 1339 898 5659 1387 3 1 0
ODI 3 140 63 2008 11563 3184 0 0
CDI 0 174 52 340 4977 13457 3078 0
VCDI 0 189 3 70 305 237 1206 0

Date: 2024-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130316 10376 37 31 0 0 0 0
OW 100 5121 708 334 7 0 0 0
VODI 47 684 773 7490 578 3 4 0
ODI 10 73 12 1200 12549 1650 7 0
CDI 20 90 14 178 2735 14243 2692 0
VCDI 0 3 0 45 121 1196 1296 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130175 8317 25 53 1 0 0 0
OW 200 4885 384 474 19 0 0 0
VODI 65 2388 946 5220 1158 6 2 0
ODI 16 290 109 3232 9943 3626 31 0
CDI 22 308 77 225 4659 13250 3468 0
VCDI 15 159 3 74 210 210 498 0

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130713 10317 59 51 0 0 0 0
OW 117 5318 486 299 5 0 0 0
VODI 26 1128 1009 7514 514 6 0 0
ODI 1 94 23 1528 12632 1242 1 0
CDI 0 118 10 162 3599 13130 2700 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 181 456 1227 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130443 8059 54 75 2 0 0 0
OW 370 4908 414 449 27 0 0 0
VODI 41 3092 886 5006 1062 48 0 0
ODI 3 406 173 3768 9835 3552 18 0
CDI 0 305 60 262 5765 10805 3265 0
VCDI 0 205 0 71 240 429 645 0


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