Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82324 5466 30 11 0 0 0 0
OW 84 1345 181 204 2 0 0 0
VODI 5 237 256 1686 105 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 427 734 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1427 5343 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 232 228 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82803 5312 25 17 0 0 0 0
OW 59 1405 182 265 3 0 0 0
VODI 3 292 240 1461 94 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 22 495 610 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 1339 5448 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 35 139 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81388 7479 72 131 0 0 0 0
OW 12 1144 406 338 9 0 0 0
VODI 1 15 80 1667 135 4 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 1949 119 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1073 3881 137 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 228 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83428 5951 26 16 1 0 0 0
OW 17 1260 323 261 18 0 0 0
VODI 1 63 158 1327 126 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 304 1692 216 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1302 3765 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 77 37 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83419 6163 31 26 0 0 0 0
OW 25 1044 363 354 17 0 0 0
VODI 2 67 113 1201 107 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 327 1768 142 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1247 3868 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 50 37 0

Date: 2024-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84335 5191 14 7 2 0 0 0
OW 26 1252 370 258 28 4 0 0
VODI 0 105 131 1157 159 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 268 1421 397 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 521 4671 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 38 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84327 5396 20 19 0 0 0 0
OW 33 1061 398 300 31 10 0 0
VODI 1 91 92 1087 134 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 284 1429 413 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 537 4679 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0

Date: 2024-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85868 4360 14 0 2 0 0 0
OW 352 688 286 164 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 34 1358 132 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 2037 92 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 201 4578 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 22 56 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85641 4181 13 6 0 0 0 0
OW 578 755 172 217 32 19 0 0
VODI 1 112 144 1060 129 13 11 0
ODI 0 0 5 324 1697 381 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 528 4252 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 36 35 0

Date: 2024-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87531 2887 8 1 1 0 0 0
OW 264 629 295 261 13 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 64 1153 174 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 95 1838 100 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 390 4205 402 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 41 44 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87195 2807 18 5 2 0 0 0
OW 600 604 186 302 35 20 2 0
VODI 0 111 163 889 161 10 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 314 1719 574 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 499 3630 280 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 124 155 0

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88132 2533 18 1 0 0 0 0
OW 165 700 236 306 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 35 99 885 220 11 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 1375 714 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 118 2890 1432 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 58 311
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87866 2423 22 19 0 0 0 0
OW 431 719 212 305 25 15 0 0
VODI 0 123 110 778 240 16 1 0
ODI 0 3 9 215 1296 1477 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 161 2108 1410 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 332


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