Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-08-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108336 18103 104 100 15 0 0 0
OW 295 5368 972 1139 55 0 0 0
VODI 26 729 735 7159 1721 3 0 0
ODI 5 77 7 1786 11815 2623 1 0
CDI 1 133 1 83 5040 22632 1954 0
VCDI 0 16 1 78 905 1795 930 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110080 17113 93 151 1 0 0 0
OW 774 5540 930 1282 33 0 0 0
VODI 77 874 799 6098 1818 20 0 0
ODI 11 81 30 1946 10974 2842 40 0
CDI 1 109 3 173 4441 22598 3000 0
VCDI 0 49 20 182 805 1167 588 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111044 19800 131 242 1 0 0 0
OW 413 4459 1469 981 35 0 0 0
VODI 51 150 317 7231 972 7 1 0
ODI 2 91 3 454 12996 1132 0 0
CDI 0 76 11 148 3636 23625 792 0
VCDI 0 1 0 142 602 1842 1886 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114637 17372 99 78 1 0 0 0
OW 366 4945 982 873 23 0 0 0
VODI 42 760 702 6117 1202 25 0 0
ODI 0 83 11 940 11453 1020 2 0
CDI 0 79 21 197 6000 22306 782 0
VCDI 0 86 48 244 489 2652 106 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114648 17747 97 79 0 0 0 0
OW 364 4516 1016 1036 19 0 0 0
VODI 33 804 669 5763 1216 25 0 0
ODI 0 86 14 1125 11310 999 7 0
CDI 0 87 20 211 6154 22304 758 0
VCDI 0 85 47 235 469 2675 125 0

Date: 2024-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117456 14928 34 13 2 0 0 0
OW 430 5494 879 638 41 4 0 0
VODI 83 1029 808 5838 1304 36 0 0
ODI 1 96 6 1089 11310 1298 0 0
CDI 0 121 33 181 5154 22430 733 0
VCDI 0 78 41 240 594 1143 1178 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117389 15199 42 25 0 0 0 0
OW 492 5206 918 759 41 10 0 0
VODI 88 1039 755 5568 1473 24 0 0
ODI 1 96 14 1229 10944 1596 0 0
CDI 0 130 33 199 5371 22007 643 0
VCDI 0 76 39 219 576 1274 1268 0

Date: 2024-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121722 13599 33 17 2 0 0 0
OW 984 4330 1157 661 22 0 0 0
VODI 11 153 96 6837 725 9 0 0
ODI 1 73 16 401 17524 911 0 0
CDI 0 104 58 291 1821 20703 112 0
VCDI 0 1 0 41 296 1686 346 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120929 11997 24 13 0 0 0 0
OW 1727 4611 516 742 46 19 0 0
VODI 60 1279 707 5477 1506 19 11 0
ODI 2 108 18 1588 11070 1930 13 0
CDI 0 168 41 198 7256 18323 332 0
VCDI 0 97 54 230 512 3018 102 0

Date: 2024-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124493 12097 23 12 6 0 0 0
OW 705 4231 871 615 49 1 0 0
VODI 4 353 454 6346 983 14 0 0
ODI 0 77 19 651 15054 2835 2 0
CDI 0 78 33 366 1618 16117 3527 228
VCDI 0 57 10 140 469 905 945 355
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123407 10161 19 12 4 0 0 0
OW 1763 4669 547 800 63 20 2 0
VODI 32 1621 716 4892 1522 102 9 0
ODI 0 142 52 1829 10007 3077 36 0
CDI 0 178 32 221 5981 15332 3015 123
VCDI 0 122 44 376 602 1341 1412 460

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127445 10397 37 12 4 0 0 0
OW 703 3886 625 630 53 1 0 0
VODI 29 649 628 5953 977 23 1 0
ODI 1 75 20 923 14224 3000 61 0
CDI 0 100 29 381 1920 14066 4406 355
VCDI 0 160 25 140 239 442 1047 1076
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 126056 8269 35 25 2 0 0 0
OW 2011 4493 504 924 52 25 0 0
VODI 86 1903 654 4672 1750 57 1 0
ODI 25 187 88 1821 8962 3721 107 0
CDI 0 186 34 259 6305 12738 4312 252
VCDI 0 229 49 338 346 991 1095 1179


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