Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80009 6227 49 7 0 0 0 0
OW 6 1580 300 253 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 347 202 1398 524 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 360 1249 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 335 6889 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 422 8 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80088 6357 31 11 0 0 0 0
OW 2 1628 249 261 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 354 223 1456 406 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 428 987 75 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 499 6712 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 624 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80580 6846 29 13 0 0 0 0
OW 10 1311 331 162 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 129 1722 408 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 180 1131 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 150 5979 427 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 343 488 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81459 6223 35 13 0 0 0 0
OW 57 1339 210 170 2 0 0 0
VODI 3 191 199 1775 153 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 419 825 48 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1017 5557 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 406 306 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81477 6289 39 14 0 0 0 0
OW 37 1290 241 194 2 0 0 0
VODI 5 174 164 1793 146 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 376 815 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1034 5514 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 454 304 0

Date: 2024-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82064 5861 24 12 0 0 0 0
OW 67 1349 193 257 4 0 0 0
VODI 4 222 216 1665 108 7 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 463 657 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 1473 5258 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 51 273 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82082 5976 26 21 0 0 0 0
OW 46 1266 231 310 10 0 0 0
VODI 7 191 175 1618 114 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 448 609 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 1509 5272 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 27 263 0

Date: 2024-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82414 6430 38 29 0 0 0 0
OW 16 1110 440 293 8 0 0 0
VODI 1 3 36 1830 123 0 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 2002 123 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 355 4853 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 45 199 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82402 5910 27 38 0 0 0 0
OW 24 1406 235 335 19 0 0 0
VODI 5 221 227 1404 116 8 1 0
ODI 0 6 25 427 549 91 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1804 4860 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 62 195 0

Date: 2024-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81645 7405 75 102 55 0 0 0
OW 13 1139 375 300 64 0 0 0
VODI 1 47 137 1477 119 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 254 1799 104 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1730 3383 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 63 110 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81635 6768 76 103 32 0 0 0
OW 19 1423 268 447 80 1 0 0
VODI 5 367 201 1032 89 21 0 0
ODI 0 33 42 478 650 120 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 2916 3240 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 179 117 0

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84026 5403 25 14 3 0 0 0
OW 39 1196 350 300 24 2 0 0
VODI 0 79 129 1225 170 25 4 0
ODI 0 0 2 205 1483 381 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 439 4690 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 22 62 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83988 4894 24 26 0 0 0 0
OW 72 1434 287 198 13 5 0 0
VODI 5 337 169 1085 95 24 3 0
ODI 0 13 26 395 732 346 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 1279 4643 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 102 36 0


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