Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2927 4934 18 12 0 0 0 0
OW 297 2569 456 376 11 0 0 0
VODI 4 480 264 2479 1057 0 0 0
ODI 0 146 27 593 3853 2751 0 0
CDI 0 86 17 105 2476 7142 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3376 5057 21 6 0 0 0 0
OW 262 2600 422 379 15 0 0 0
VODI 18 566 296 2297 1083 0 0 0
ODI 1 260 51 547 3566 3721 35 0
CDI 0 46 9 84 2558 5758 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4268 5918 10 15 0 0 0 0
OW 177 2413 515 312 5 0 0 0
VODI 9 211 179 2555 469 0 0 0
ODI 12 34 1 305 6249 1175 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 15 554 7333 361 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4869 5782 4 8 0 0 0 0
OW 189 2420 410 240 1 0 0 0
VODI 18 241 248 2258 790 0 0 0
ODI 10 23 4 406 6090 1040 0 0
CDI 1 2 2 9 751 7219 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4888 5833 11 6 0 0 0 0
OW 171 2337 417 336 2 0 0 0
VODI 23 280 234 2082 778 0 0 0
ODI 4 14 3 484 6194 1293 0 0
CDI 1 4 3 13 658 6966 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5848 5152 3 12 0 0 0 0
OW 597 2168 344 241 0 0 0 0
VODI 94 215 305 1968 1003 0 0 0
ODI 11 3 3 662 5505 1274 0 0
CDI 2 0 0 8 999 6550 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5872 5151 7 13 0 0 0 0
OW 564 2119 344 341 0 0 0 0
VODI 104 267 301 1811 1003 0 0 0
ODI 9 1 3 719 5577 1454 0 0
CDI 3 0 0 7 927 6370 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7333 5085 9 2 0 0 0 0
OW 483 1361 499 253 2 0 0 0
VODI 57 7 20 2459 280 0 0 0
ODI 3 0 0 100 5904 277 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 667 7928 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 58 299 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6845 4358 7 12 3 0 0 0
OW 933 1788 295 440 4 0 0 0
VODI 89 307 217 1552 1343 0 0 0
ODI 9 0 9 795 4437 2347 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 1066 5916 307 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8237 4471 5 13 0 0 0 0
OW 274 1505 298 153 1 0 0 0
VODI 32 75 201 2254 554 0 0 0
ODI 1 0 0 135 5495 419 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1794 6883 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 277 18 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7651 3733 12 19 0 0 0 0
OW 847 1846 245 406 13 0 0 0
VODI 45 434 180 1309 1729 0 0 0
ODI 1 38 65 799 4708 1834 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 23 1394 5745 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8985 3875 2 14 0 0 0 0
OW 284 1480 229 105 0 0 0 0
VODI 50 196 309 2294 639 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 310 5173 379 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1794 6924 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8510 3163 3 16 0 0 0 0
OW 767 1839 228 345 0 0 0 0
VODI 41 477 188 1456 1552 0 0 0
ODI 1 72 119 882 4740 1880 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 24 1314 5477 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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