Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20391 6145 60 11 0 0 0 0
OW 7 1471 326 486 45 5 0 0
VODI 5 218 210 2613 1027 18 0 0
ODI 2 6 0 663 3781 101 0 0
CDI 8 83 5 118 5479 14913 311 0
VCDI 0 2 1 4 941 1587 188 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20472 6253 39 20 0 0 0 0
OW 7 1499 331 604 54 0 0 0
VODI 4 268 211 3181 775 0 0 0
ODI 2 7 1 484 3332 65 0 0
CDI 6 144 5 63 5246 14072 464 0
VCDI 0 28 5 55 998 2431 105 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20710 6852 36 59 4 0 0 0
OW 6 1230 392 620 40 0 0 0
VODI 1 99 124 3132 839 0 0 0
ODI 0 64 0 474 6444 319 0 0
CDI 0 113 13 74 4291 10945 1056 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 824 1282 1186 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21168 6577 54 58 11 0 0 0
OW 6 1592 383 518 40 0 0 0
VODI 1 238 292 3509 345 0 0 0
ODI 0 64 0 660 5900 1141 0 0
CDI 0 117 9 73 2624 9952 1814 0
VCDI 0 1 1 51 1040 2230 762 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21168 6630 54 62 4 0 0 0
OW 6 1474 372 559 38 0 0 0
VODI 1 279 303 3284 432 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 0 839 5822 1189 7 0
CDI 0 135 9 68 2621 9214 1726 0
VCDI 0 1 1 57 1043 2920 843 0

Date: 2024-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21131 6734 73 120 1 0 0 0
OW 83 1689 466 762 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 263 282 3034 645 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 3 724 4937 1497 12 0
CDI 0 125 0 136 2658 11685 1143 0
VCDI 0 19 1 89 857 1307 643 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21142 6798 69 127 1 0 0 0
OW 68 1580 463 720 36 0 0 0
VODI 4 278 289 2964 604 1 0 0
ODI 0 73 3 834 4987 1692 6 0
CDI 0 135 0 131 2672 11394 1215 0
VCDI 0 28 1 89 848 1402 577 0

Date: 2024-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21807 7290 81 128 0 0 0 0
OW 60 1635 728 621 10 0 0 0
VODI 3 99 36 3227 383 5 0 0
ODI 0 91 3 181 6519 149 0 0
CDI 0 65 14 119 692 12907 246 2
VCDI 0 1 0 162 616 952 2275 124
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21782 6436 74 149 1 0 0 0
OW 85 1998 373 639 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 450 386 2531 641 18 0 0
ODI 3 94 8 762 4506 1641 12 9
CDI 0 139 9 155 2362 11268 2048 117
VCDI 0 64 12 202 683 1086 461 0

Date: 2024-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22147 7419 59 72 2 0 0 0
OW 32 1938 552 523 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 171 211 2769 744 0 0 0
ODI 0 87 3 197 5017 685 0 0
CDI 0 77 15 185 1970 11246 1617 0
VCDI 0 25 13 253 487 2046 648 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22087 6506 55 60 4 0 0 0
OW 92 2178 361 643 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 677 383 2172 769 23 0 0
ODI 0 114 12 608 3857 1820 18 0
CDI 0 157 19 204 3068 10859 2149 0
VCDI 0 85 23 312 511 1275 98 0

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22804 7147 32 20 0 0 0 0
OW 61 2483 398 393 9 0 0 0
VODI 12 533 274 2547 468 1 0 0
ODI 2 100 10 406 4473 493 0 0
CDI 0 108 23 175 2990 10865 1059 0
VCDI 0 96 45 230 519 1290 1165 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22709 6230 30 9 0 0 0 0
OW 162 2669 325 408 24 0 0 0
VODI 7 1084 324 1963 480 98 0 0
ODI 1 135 21 939 3567 1802 13 0
CDI 0 184 31 209 3931 9975 1905 0
VCDI 0 165 51 243 457 774 306 0


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