Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-07-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103327 17306 127 30 0 0 0 0
OW 310 5620 1082 1115 66 5 0 0
VODI 9 1045 676 6490 2608 22 0 0
ODI 2 156 30 1616 8883 2913 0 0
CDI 8 169 22 223 8290 28944 496 0
VCDI 0 2 1 4 941 2009 196 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103936 17667 91 37 0 0 0 0
OW 271 5727 1002 1244 80 0 0 0
VODI 22 1188 730 6934 2264 5 0 0
ODI 3 268 52 1459 7885 3861 35 0
CDI 6 190 14 149 8303 26542 532 0
VCDI 0 28 5 55 998 3055 105 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105558 19616 75 87 4 0 0 0
OW 193 4954 1238 1094 50 0 0 0
VODI 10 380 432 7409 1716 0 0 0
ODI 12 98 1 959 13824 1596 0 0
CDI 0 114 13 89 4995 24257 1844 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 824 1625 1674 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107496 18582 93 79 11 0 0 0
OW 252 5351 1003 928 43 0 0 0
VODI 22 670 739 7542 1288 1 0 0
ODI 10 87 4 1485 12815 2229 0 0
CDI 1 119 11 82 4392 22728 1883 0
VCDI 0 1 1 51 1040 2636 1068 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107533 18752 104 82 4 0 0 0
OW 214 5101 1030 1089 42 0 0 0
VODI 29 733 701 7159 1356 1 0 0
ODI 4 84 3 1699 12831 2525 7 0
CDI 1 139 12 81 4313 21694 1797 0
VCDI 0 1 1 57 1043 3374 1147 0

Date: 2024-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109043 17747 100 144 1 0 0 0
OW 747 5206 1003 1260 54 0 0 0
VODI 98 700 803 6667 1756 7 0 0
ODI 11 66 11 1849 11099 2833 12 0
CDI 2 125 0 150 5130 23493 1386 0
VCDI 0 19 1 89 857 1358 916 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109096 17925 102 161 1 0 0 0
OW 678 4965 1038 1371 46 0 0 0
VODI 115 736 765 6393 1721 4 0 0
ODI 9 74 12 2001 11173 3222 6 0
CDI 3 135 0 144 5108 23036 1468 0
VCDI 0 28 1 89 848 1429 840 0

Date: 2024-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111554 18805 128 159 0 0 0 0
OW 559 4106 1667 1167 20 0 0 0
VODI 61 109 92 7516 786 5 1 0
ODI 3 91 3 340 14425 549 0 0
CDI 0 65 14 119 1714 25688 264 2
VCDI 0 1 0 162 616 1055 2773 124
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111029 16704 108 199 4 0 0 0
OW 1042 5192 903 1414 50 0 0 0
VODI 94 978 830 5487 2100 26 1 0
ODI 12 100 42 1984 9492 4079 14 9
CDI 0 139 9 177 5232 22044 2367 117
VCDI 0 64 12 202 683 1148 656 0

Date: 2024-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112029 19295 139 187 57 0 0 0
OW 319 4582 1225 976 86 0 0 0
VODI 33 293 549 6500 1417 11 0 0
ODI 1 87 3 586 12311 1208 0 0
CDI 0 77 15 187 5494 21512 1624 0
VCDI 0 25 13 253 487 2386 776 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111373 17007 143 182 36 0 0 0
OW 958 5447 874 1496 125 1 0 0
VODI 50 1478 764 4513 2587 44 0 0
ODI 1 185 119 1885 9215 3774 18 0
CDI 0 157 21 301 7378 19844 2167 0
VCDI 0 85 23 312 511 1454 215 0

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115815 16425 59 48 3 0 0 0
OW 384 5159 977 798 33 2 0 0
VODI 62 808 712 6066 1277 26 4 0
ODI 2 100 12 921 11129 1253 14 0
CDI 0 108 23 175 5223 22479 1163 0
VCDI 0 96 45 230 519 1366 1227 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115207 14287 57 51 0 0 0 0
OW 1001 5942 840 951 37 5 0 0
VODI 53 1898 681 4504 2127 122 3 0
ODI 2 220 166 2216 9039 4028 29 0
CDI 0 184 33 273 6524 20095 2034 0
VCDI 0 165 51 243 457 876 342 0


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