Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 513 4501 80 44 7 0 0 0
OW 1 1866 472 523 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 457 297 3054 773 0 0 0
ODI 0 67 101 1010 3464 408 0 0
CDI 0 23 15 508 2767 10152 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 438 1500 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 592 4651 65 84 2 0 0 0
OW 0 2265 337 544 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 842 493 2278 936 8 0 0
ODI 0 122 112 1107 3116 479 0 0
CDI 0 71 25 575 2391 10110 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 380 1206 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1261 5704 42 11 2 0 0 0
OW 32 3161 678 356 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 229 286 2724 590 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 12 447 4069 1139 0 0
CDI 0 54 9 164 2349 9588 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1897 5648 17 13 1 0 0 0
OW 144 2931 455 391 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 356 284 2602 872 0 0 0
ODI 0 78 26 553 3817 2401 0 0
CDI 0 81 17 140 2230 8091 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1872 6059 63 24 1 0 0 0
OW 169 2469 400 423 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 401 300 2514 904 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 21 593 3698 1928 0 0
CDI 0 85 15 145 2316 8564 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3104 5086 21 5 0 0 0 0
OW 277 2490 466 390 10 0 0 0
VODI 2 515 292 2359 1123 1 0 0
ODI 0 215 31 537 3745 3353 23 0
CDI 0 63 21 80 2236 6580 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3112 5266 57 23 0 0 0 0
OW 267 2247 400 424 15 0 0 0
VODI 4 580 304 2227 1215 7 0 0
ODI 0 215 49 627 3534 2574 0 0
CDI 0 61 21 70 2350 7353 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3706 6224 18 6 0 0 0 0
OW 154 2289 699 363 8 0 0 0
VODI 5 145 50 2707 377 0 0 0
ODI 2 53 1 106 7064 318 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 13 772 7992 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3553 5274 48 18 0 0 0 0
OW 260 2483 324 437 12 0 0 0
VODI 53 626 346 2017 1322 17 0 0
ODI 1 305 49 627 3938 2527 0 0
CDI 0 24 1 96 2947 5763 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0

Date: 2024-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4200 6188 12 8 0 0 0 0
OW 179 2308 443 417 2 0 0 0
VODI 20 195 147 2306 831 0 0 0
ODI 11 24 0 300 5700 1699 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 11 372 7526 196 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4105 5071 28 27 0 0 0 0
OW 254 2560 262 609 20 0 0 0
VODI 38 746 269 1614 1580 61 0 0
ODI 13 333 43 489 3081 4111 109 0
CDI 0 6 0 303 2220 5049 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 4 0 0

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5192 5690 3 13 0 0 0 0
OW 206 2425 369 239 1 0 0 0
VODI 21 294 280 2075 998 0 0 0
ODI 5 11 0 566 5460 1238 0 0
CDI 1 2 0 8 927 7028 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5002 4392 22 16 0 0 0 0
OW 379 2779 282 526 13 0 0 0
VODI 30 867 286 1359 1454 157 0 0
ODI 13 374 45 474 3328 3745 18 0
CDI 1 10 17 526 2584 4364 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0


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