Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19394 5077 44 56 49 0 0 0
OW 50 1465 380 564 100 6 0 0
VODI 19 171 178 1774 984 22 0 0
ODI 16 21 0 342 4528 738 1 0
CDI 25 12 5 66 1486 16841 210 0
VCDI 1 12 3 38 504 5997 52 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19257 5623 45 104 28 0 0 0
OW 18 1538 322 575 133 0 0 0
VODI 31 228 206 1966 1346 11 0 0
ODI 16 32 5 329 3630 93 0 0
CDI 18 53 1 29 3036 18980 451 0
VCDI 0 20 6 81 649 2278 93 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19945 6205 80 66 12 0 0 0
OW 51 1291 354 522 54 0 0 0
VODI 2 90 113 2009 826 3 0 0
ODI 3 10 0 178 5004 248 0 0
CDI 11 65 14 80 2985 17256 1208 0
VCDI 0 0 2 46 327 1804 367 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20178 6198 55 32 2 0 0 0
OW 13 1459 286 494 53 0 0 0
VODI 3 168 146 2360 1013 1 0 0
ODI 4 5 1 518 4333 33 0 0
CDI 9 64 21 124 4976 16240 61 0
VCDI 0 0 1 37 813 1397 133 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20174 6130 71 43 5 0 0 0
OW 17 1460 247 499 55 0 0 0
VODI 3 236 169 2308 1123 1 0 0
ODI 3 8 1 557 3971 24 0 0
CDI 10 59 19 62 5226 16156 55 0
VCDI 0 1 3 96 810 1490 139 0

Date: 2024-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20427 6229 36 17 0 0 0 0
OW 5 1450 299 597 54 0 0 0
VODI 4 261 216 2834 1045 4 0 0
ODI 3 5 1 583 3572 56 0 0
CDI 6 138 7 60 5337 14329 324 0
VCDI 0 8 9 67 1080 2148 20 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20427 6205 49 41 0 0 0 0
OW 4 1419 294 583 67 0 0 0
VODI 4 316 208 2833 1058 9 0 0
ODI 2 6 1 575 3162 49 0 0
CDI 8 90 13 51 5736 14294 344 0
VCDI 0 55 3 75 1065 2185 0 0

Date: 2024-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20545 6895 41 41 0 0 0 0
OW 7 1170 559 487 21 0 0 0
VODI 2 60 25 3521 540 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 0 131 7176 340 0 0
CDI 0 104 10 79 2415 13356 277 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 873 1558 940 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20537 6242 72 46 0 0 0 0
OW 4 1503 296 640 84 0 0 0
VODI 4 348 257 2892 1137 5 0 0
ODI 2 13 0 576 2739 84 0 0
CDI 7 118 6 75 6018 12422 1010 0
VCDI 0 61 4 32 1047 2743 207 0

Date: 2024-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20874 6776 54 53 7 0 0 0
OW 6 1382 469 533 30 0 0 0
VODI 1 156 160 3636 310 0 0 0
ODI 0 64 0 828 6189 471 0 0
CDI 0 111 11 59 3324 9937 2207 0
VCDI 0 1 0 14 978 1743 847 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20866 6046 72 76 17 0 0 0
OW 6 1698 286 731 91 0 0 0
VODI 1 520 311 3150 542 0 0 0
ODI 3 20 14 1005 2230 145 0 0
CDI 5 134 9 140 7007 9878 1775 0
VCDI 0 72 2 21 951 2128 1279 0

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20820 6947 71 76 15 0 0 0
OW 5 1598 422 696 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 198 199 3398 618 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 1 793 5621 1330 1 0
CDI 0 131 1 72 2686 10261 1888 0
VCDI 0 16 1 78 905 1563 702 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20810 6239 96 141 44 0 0 0
OW 7 1825 248 1004 147 2 0 0
VODI 1 608 344 2637 616 11 0 0
ODI 4 34 5 1072 1960 487 47 0
CDI 3 187 2 200 6249 9705 1572 0
VCDI 0 63 0 59 881 2949 972 0


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