Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97361 16577 148 123 56 0 0 0
OW 89 5180 1120 1515 134 6 0 0
VODI 19 1054 763 6217 2044 23 0 0
ODI 16 95 114 2049 9797 1343 1 0
CDI 25 35 20 582 5417 33893 314 0
VCDI 1 12 3 46 942 7557 52 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97868 16937 135 212 30 0 0 0
OW 70 5857 972 1463 199 0 0 0
VODI 31 1709 1012 5323 2480 23 0 0
ODI 16 166 135 2253 8230 813 0 0
CDI 18 124 26 657 6065 36468 716 0
VCDI 0 20 6 90 1029 3497 93 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99252 19384 174 114 14 0 0 0
OW 129 6384 1429 1142 61 0 0 0
VODI 2 435 620 6397 1724 6 0 0
ODI 3 49 12 847 10765 1537 2 0
CDI 11 119 23 244 5487 33779 1703 0
VCDI 0 0 2 46 327 1897 623 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101570 18326 146 54 3 0 0 0
OW 185 6060 1053 1157 67 0 0 0
VODI 3 840 652 6452 2312 4 0 0
ODI 4 85 29 1380 9584 2535 0 0
CDI 9 145 38 264 7433 31497 206 0
VCDI 0 0 1 37 813 1666 133 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101542 18891 204 77 6 0 0 0
OW 213 5386 986 1218 71 0 0 0
VODI 3 942 667 6227 2397 4 0 0
ODI 3 92 25 1519 9112 2141 0 0
CDI 10 144 34 207 7816 31802 198 0
VCDI 0 1 3 96 810 1755 141 0

Date: 2024-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103376 17852 99 33 0 0 0 0
OW 283 5446 1036 1293 75 0 0 0
VODI 6 1111 710 6622 2656 11 0 0
ODI 3 222 33 1454 8458 3491 23 0
CDI 6 201 28 140 7969 27651 500 0
VCDI 0 8 9 67 1080 2763 28 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103385 18217 155 77 0 0 0 0
OW 271 4959 977 1345 91 0 0 0
VODI 8 1231 688 6368 2766 22 0 0
ODI 2 227 58 1622 7804 2876 0 0
CDI 8 151 34 122 8512 28247 534 0
VCDI 0 55 3 75 1065 2771 17 0

Date: 2024-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104221 20362 95 64 0 0 0 0
OW 161 4762 1604 1105 33 0 0 0
VODI 7 220 116 8230 1193 1 0 0
ODI 2 108 1 341 15520 717 0 0
CDI 0 105 10 92 3357 27905 311 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 873 1780 1444 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104060 18272 151 76 0 0 0 0
OW 264 5415 859 1411 119 0 0 0
VODI 57 1337 742 6372 2738 37 0 0
ODI 3 331 63 1764 7557 2813 9 0
CDI 7 142 7 179 9513 24348 1104 0
VCDI 0 61 4 32 1049 3205 642 0

Date: 2024-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106400 19223 88 76 7 0 0 0
OW 250 5014 1177 1066 33 0 0 0
VODI 24 498 522 7756 1300 1 0 0
ODI 11 88 0 1402 12927 2202 0 0
CDI 0 112 11 70 4501 23155 2414 0
VCDI 0 1 0 14 978 2127 1295 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106241 16925 129 115 17 0 0 0
OW 370 5778 781 1544 118 0 0 0
VODI 53 1642 781 6032 2256 64 0 0
ODI 16 379 95 2204 6103 4414 109 0
CDI 5 140 10 468 10297 19992 1872 0
VCDI 0 72 2 21 955 3015 1728 0

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108336 18103 104 100 15 0 0 0
OW 295 5368 972 1139 55 0 0 0
VODI 26 729 735 7159 1721 3 0 0
ODI 5 77 7 1786 11815 2623 1 0
CDI 1 133 1 83 5040 22632 1954 0
VCDI 0 16 1 78 905 1795 930 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108080 15727 178 182 44 0 0 0
OW 518 6042 668 1795 178 2 0 0
VODI 44 1905 847 5145 2161 180 0 0
ODI 17 480 101 2384 5907 4354 65 0
CDI 4 209 26 780 10373 19127 1599 0
VCDI 0 63 0 59 888 3390 1221 0


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